🚨NEW | Greens confirm they will contest Makerfield. Despite Caroline Lucas urging the party to step aside and endorse Starmer's Labour Party, a Green spokesperson said the selection process has begun. "We've shown we can beat Reform" they added. (Via @Telegraph) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🚨BREAKING | Andy Burnham confirms he will NOT scrap first-past-the-post before #GE2029 Burnham said electoral reform must be "in a manifesto", and revealed he does NOT back proportional representation, instead praising the non-proportional Supplementary Vote (SV). Via @itvnews

🗳️#GE2029 estimate (based on local elections): ➡️Ref: 301 (+296) 🟠Lib: 92 (+20) 🟢Grn: 87 (+83) 🔵Con: 54 (-67) 🟡SNP: 48 (+39) 🔴Lab: 32 (-379) 🟩Plaid: 13 (+9) Most likely government: Ref minority ➡️ x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️NEW | Burnham narrowly leads in Makerfield 🔴 Lab: 45% (-) ➡️ Ref: 42% (+10) Source: @Survation estimate, 15 May 2026 --- +/- vs 2024 general election x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ Projected National Share, 2026 local elections: ➡️Ref: 26% (-4) 🟢Grn: 18% (+7) 🔵Con: 17% (+2) 🔴Lab: 17% (-3) 🟠Lib: 16% (-1) At 17%, this is Labour's lowest-ever vote PNS share in a local election, and the highest-ever for the Greens. x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️POLL | Reform lead by 6pts ➡️ Ref: 26% (-2) 🔵 Con: 20% (+2) 🔴 Lab: 20% (-1) 🟢 Grn: 15% (+1) 🟠 Lib: 13% (+2) – Seats – ➡️ Ref: 249 🔵 Con: 104 🔴 Lab: 81 🟠 Lib: 79 🟢 Grn: 58 🟡 SNP: 46 🟩 Plaid: 11 Poll: @JLPartnersPolls, 29-30 Apr (+/- vs 9 Apr) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️Analysis | How did Burnham outperform in 2024? In 2024, Wigan (which contains Makerfield) held council and Mayor elections. Burnham 66%; Labour 52%. With Reform set to win Makerfield in a generic contest (Ref 50, Lab 21), will +14pts for Burnham be enough? x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️POLL | Net favourability in North West: 🔴 Burnham +26 --- 🟠 Davey -9 🟢 Polanski -16 ➡️ Farage -22 🔵 Badenoch -24 🔴 Starmer -42 Source: @Ipsos, March – May 2026 x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️POLL | Net favourability of potential leaders: 🔴 Burnham +8 --- 🔴 Streeting -18 🔴 Cooper -18 🔴 Miliband -26 🔴 Rayner -29 🔴 Starmer -38 Source: @Ipsos, 8-12 May x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️2026 local elections in Greater Manchester: ➡️ Ref: 30.7% (+13.3) 🔴 Lab: 23.6% (-19.4) 🟢 Grn: 19.1% (+11.1) 🔵 Con: 10.3% (-5.6) 🟠 Lib: 9.5% (+0.5) { Seats } ➡️ Ref: 106 🔴 Lab: 34 🟢 Grn: 30 🟠 Lib: 19 🔵 Con: 11 ⚪️ Ind: 12 ⚙️ WPB: 3 +/- vs 2024 general election x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️POLL | Net favourability of potential leaders: 🔴 Burnham +8 --- 🔴 Streeting -18 🔴 Cooper -18 🔴 Miliband -26 🔴 Rayner -29 🔴 Starmer -38 Source: @Ipsos, 8-12 May x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️2026 local elections in Makerfield: ➡️ Ref: 49.8% (+18.0) 🔴 Lab: 24.3% (-20.9) { Seats } ➡️ Ref: 8 🔴 Lab: 0 +/- vs 2024 general election x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️BREAKING | Greens have taken leadership of Worcestershire Council from Reform in a shock vote Conservatives (12 seats), Greens (8), LDs (7) and independents (3) have formed a rainbow coalition and ousted Reform at the annual meeting. Greens' Matt Jenkins will be leader. 🗳️ x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️POLL | Preference for leader (members): { vs Burnham } 🔴Burnham – 69% 🔵Starmer – 31% { vs Streeting } 🔴Streeting – 30% 🔵Starmer – 70% Via @Survation, 13 - 14 May x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️Preference for Labour leader (all voters): 🔴 Burnham – 33% 🔴 Miliband – 12% 🔴 Rayner – 11% 🔴 Cooper – 10% Via @Survation, 29 April - 1 May x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️POLL | Preference for Labour leader (members): 🔴 Burnham – 49% 🔴 Streeting – 13% 🔴 Rayner – 13% 🔴 Miliband – 12% 🔴 Cooper – 5% Via @Survation, 30 April - 5 May x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️POLL | 2026 local vote by *financial* status: { Insecure } ➡️Ref: 30% 🟢Grn: 25% 🔴Lab: 15% 🔵Con: 12% 🟠Lib: 10% { Secure } ➡️Ref: 28% 🔴Lab: 17% 🟠Lib: 17% 🔵Con: 16% 🟢Grn: 15% Poll: @YouGov / @Persuasion_UK, 22 Apr-5 May x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️2026 local elections in Manchester Rusholme: 🟢 Grn: 52.1% (+28.6) 🔴 Lab: 30.6% (-21.3) { Seats } 🟢 Grn: 6 🔴 Lab: 0 +/- vs 2024 general election x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️RESULT | Great Yarmouth (Norfolk): ⚫️ Res: 46% (+46)* ➡️ Ref: 20% (+20) 🔵 Con: 12% (-47) 🟢 Grn: 11% (+3) 🔴 Lab: 9% (-19) 🟠 Lib: 3% (-) { Seats } ⚫️ Res: 9 (+9)* 🔵 Con: 0 (-7) 🔴 Lab: 0 (-2) +/- vs 2021 *Restore, standing as "Great Yarmouth First" x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️POLL | Reform lead by 9pts ➡️Ref: 29% (+3) 🔵Con: 20% (+1) 🔴Lab: 18% (-4) 🟠Lib: 14% (+1) 🟢Grn: 12% (-3) { Seats } ➡️Ref: 315 🔵Con: 81 🟠Lib: 81 🔴Lab: 53 🟡SNP: 46 🟢Grn: 38 🟩Plaid: 11 Poll: @tweetfreshwater, 9-10 May (+/- vs 12 Apr) x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️POLL | Reform lead by 9pts ➡️Ref: 28% (+1) 🔴Lab: 19% (-) 🔵Con: 18% (-) 🟢Grn: 16% (+1) 🟠Lib: 11% (-1) { Seats } ➡️Ref: 311 🟠Lib: 76 🟢Grn: 64 🔵Con: 60 🔴Lab: 59 🟡SNP: 46 🟩Plaid: 11 Poll: @OpiniumResearch, 6-8 May (+/- vs 1 May) x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️NEW | Plaid leader Rhun ap Iorwerth has been elected First Minister by the Senedd. 🟢 Ap Iorwerth (Plaid) – 44* ➡️ Dan Thomas (Ref) – 34 🔵 Darren Millar (Con) – 7 Greens backed Plaid. Lib Dems / Labour* abstained. *Presiding Officer (Lab) and deputy (Plaid) do not vote. x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️POLL | Reform surges to 11pt lead ➡️ Ref: 28% (+3) 🔵 Con: 17% (-) 🟢 Grn: 16% (+1) 🔴 Lab: 16% (-2) 🟠 Lib: 13% (-1) { Seats } ➡️ Ref: 333 🟠 Lib: 85 🟢 Grn: 73 🔵 Con: 53 🟡 SNP: 46 🔴 Lab: 20 🟩 Plaid: 11 Poll: @YouGov, 10-11 May (+/- vs 5 May) x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️POLL | Net favourability of potential leaders: 🔴Burnham +6 --- 🔴Streeting -22 🔴Cooper -24 🔴Miliband -30 🔴Rayner -31 Source: @Ipsos, 17-21 April x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️POLL | #GE2029 with Streeting as PM: ➡️Ref: 32% (+17) 🟢Grn: 21% (+14) 🔵Con: 15% (-9) 🔴Lab: 15% (-20) 🟠Lib: 11% (-2) { Seats } ➡️Ref: 373 (+368) 🟢Grn: 101 (+97) 🟠Lib: 72 (-) 🟡SNP: 47 (+38) 🔵Con: 17 (-104) 🟩Plaid: 10 (+6) 🔴Lab: 5 (-406) Poll: @YouGov, 28 Jan 2026 x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️FINAL RESULT | London local elections: 🔴Lab: 25.6% (-16.9) 🟢Grn: 22.3% (+10.5) 🔵Con: 20.0% (-5.8) ➡️Ref: 13.0% (+12.8) 🟠Lib: 12.4% (-1.9) { Seats } 🔴Lab: 696 (-460) 🔵Con: 407 (+3) 🟢Grn: 279 (+261) 🟠Lib: 243 (+63) ➡️Ref: 79 (+79) x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Hastings Council 🟢 GRN: 42% (+19) ➡️ REF: 25% (+25) 🔴 LAB: 16% (-26) 🔵 CON: 9% (-20) 🟠 LIB: 2% (-3) { Won | After } 🟢 GRN: 10 | 19 (+7) ➡️ REF: 6 | 6 (+6) 🔴 LAB: 0 | 4 (-10) ⚪️ IND: 1 | 1 (+1) 🔵 CON: 0 | 0 (-4) Green MAJORITY of 8 seats🟢 x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Lewisham Council: 🟢 Grn: 42% (+20) 🔴 Lab: 33% (-19) 🟠 Lib: 9% (-5) ➡️ Ref: 8% (+8) 🔵 Con: 6% (-5) { Seats } 🟢 Grn: 40 (+40) 🔴 Lab: 14 (-40) +/- vs 2022 elections x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️2026 elections – Tottenham (David Lammy's seat) 🟢 Grn: 42.8% (+23.8) 🔴 Lab: 34.3% (-23.2) 🔵 Con: 6.0% (+0.2) ➡️ Ref: 5.5% (+1.5) 🟠 Lib: 5.4% (+0.6) Turnout estimate: 38,673 (50.9%) Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024) x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Tower Hamlets Council: 🟠Asp: 28% (-6) 🔴Lab: 22% (-13) 🟢Grn: 21% (+11) ➡️Ref: 7% (+7) 🟡Lib: 6% (-4) 🔵Con: 5% (-3) { Seats } 🟠Asp: 33 (+9) 🔴Lab: 5 (-14) 🟢Grn: 5 (+4) 🟡Lib: 1 (+1) 🔵Con: 1 (-) +/- vs 2022 elections x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️2026 local elections in Islington North: 🟢 Grn: 39% (+9) 🔴 Lab: 35% (-18) ➡️ Ref: 7% (+7) 🟠 Lib: 6% (-3) 🔵 Con: 5% (-2) ⚪️ Oth: 8% (+7) -- Seats -- 🟢 Grn: 19 (+16) 🔴 Lab 5 (-16) +/- vs 2022 local elections x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ 2026 elections within Norwich South* 🟢 Grn: 41% (+23) ➡️ Ref: 20% (+8) 🔴 Lab: 19% (-29) 🟠 Lib: 11% (+3) 🔵 Con: 6% (-7) Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024)🟢 --- *Clive Lewis' seat x.com/LeftieStats/...

Oh, fiddlesticks. Just checked back in here and it looks like my auto-posting setup broke at 4pm yesterday. Sorry about that folks, I've reset it and it should be working again. Only missed 11 posts from Twitter so I'll put those out manually

‼️Result for the 13 Norwich seats on Norfolk Council (city seats still TBD, but boundaries almost same): 🟢 Green: 10 (+7) ➡️ Reform: 2 (+2) 🟠 Lib Dem: 1 (-) 🔴 Labour: 0 (-9) Labour totally wiped out in a once-safe district. x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Redvales ward (Bury Council) ⚙️ WPB: 29.5% (+29.5) 🔴 Lab: 22.6% (-21.6) ➡️ Ref: 22.1% (+22.1) 🟢 Grn: 12.8% (+2.7) ⚪️ Ind: 6.6% (+6.6) 🔵 Con: 6.4% (-30.2) Workers Party GAIN from Labour⚙️ x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Mosside (Manchester) 🟢 Grn: 56% (+49) 🔴 Lab: 32% (-50) ➡️ Ref: 5% (+5) 🔵 Con: 3% (-4) 🟠 Lib: 2% (-1) ⚪️ Oth: 3% (+3) Green GAIN from Labour🟢 x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️Labour gain Na h-Eileanan an Iar from SNP 🔴 Lab: 38% (+10) 🟡 SNP: 37% (-15) ➡️ Ref: 13% (+13) 🟠 Lib: 7% (+4) 🟢 Grn: 8% (+8) 🔵 Con: 5% (-10) Labour gain from SNP🔴 --- +/- vs 2021 election x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Arthur's Hill (Newcastle-upon-Tyne) 🟢 Grn: 45% (+31) 🔴 Lab: 27% (-23) ➡️ Ref: 13% (+13) 🟠 Lib: 6% (+1) ⚪️ Oth: 5% (-20) 🔵 Con: 4% (-3) Green GAIN from Labour*🟢 Green GAIN from Labour*🟢 Green GAIN from Labour*🟢 --- *This ward has 3 seats x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️BREAKING | Welsh First Minister Eluned Morgan has lost her seat, says the BBC. This is the first time in British electoral history that a head of government has lost their seat in an election. (Source: BBC) x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Handsworth (Birmingham) 🟢 Grn: 41% (+35) 🔴 Lab: 19% (-64) 🔵 Con: 10% (+3) ➡️ Ref: 5% (+5) 🟠 Lib: 2% (-2) ⚪️ Oth: 24% (+24) Green GAIN from Labour🟢 x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Manchester City Council: 🟢Grn: 39% (+27) 🔴Lab: 31% (-35) ➡️Ref: 16% (+16) 🟠Lib: 8% (-4) 🔵Con: 3% (-6) { Seats won } 🟢Grn: 18 (+17) ➡️Ref: 7 (+7) 🔴Lab: 6 (-24) 🟠Lib: 1 (-) Sadly, Labour still hold a huge majority, as only 33% of the seats were up for election x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️BREAKING | SNP gain Shetland Islands from Lib Dem 🟡 SNP: 48% (+5.6) 🟠 Lib: 34% (-14) ➡️ Ref: 15% (+15) 🟢 Grn: 8% (+8) 🔴 Lab: 2% (-2) 🔵 Con: 1% (-3) SNP gain from Lib Dem🟡 --- +/- vs 2021 election x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Tyseley + Hay Mills ward (Birmingham) 🟢 Grn: 20.5% (+13.9) 🟠 Lib: 17.3% (+7.0) 🔴 Lab: 17.3% (-57.2) ➡️ Ref: 16.1% (+16.1) ⚙️ WPB: 14.3% (+14.3) 🔵 Con: 11.3% (+2.6) 🟥 Your: 3.4% (+3.4) Green GAIN from Labour 🟢 x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Crome (Norfolk - Norwich division) ➡️ Ref: 35% (+35) 🔴 Lab: 28% (-17) 🟢 Grn: 23% (+13) 🔵 Con: 9% (-32) 🟠 Lib: 5% (+1) Reform GAIN from Labour +/- vs 2021 election x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Dundee City West (Holyrood seat) 🟡 SNP: 49% (-13) 🔴 Lab: 25% (+3) ➡️ Ref: 13% (+13) 🟠 Lib: 8% (+4) 🔵 Con: 3% (-7) 🟥 TUSC: 3% (+3) SNP HOLD 🟡 --- +/- vs 2021 election x.com/LeftieStats/...

‼️RESULT | Aberdeen Central (Holyrood seat) 🟡 SNP: 44% (-1) 🔴 Lab: 18% (-2) ➡️ Ref: 15% (+15) 🔵 Con: 14% (-11) 🟠 Lib: 9% (+4) SNP HOLD 🟡 --- +/- vs 2021 election x.com/LeftieStats/...

🗳️ The Green win in Hackney's Mayoral election is extraordinary when you look at past results. For the past 22 years, Labour have won every single Hackney Mayor election by at least 25pts. In 2026, they lost to the Greens by 11.7pts. x.com/LeftieStats/...

🚨 BREAKING: Greens WIN Hackney Mayor 🟢 Grn: 47.2% (+30.2) 🔴 Lab: 35.5% (-23.6) Green GAIN from Labour (27% swing) --- First-ever Green Mayoral victory. Enormous.

‼️RESULT | Oxford City Council: 🟢Grn: 32% (+14) 🔴Lab: 31% (-13) 🟠Lib: 15% (-2) ➡️Ref: 10% (+10) 🔵Con: 6% (-2) ⚪️Oth: 6% (-7) { Won } 🔴Lab: 10 (-5) 🟢Grn: 9 (+5) 🟠Lib: 4 (-) ⚪️Ind: 1 (-) { After } 🔴Lab: 20 (-5) 🟢Grn: 13 (+5) 🟠Lib: 9 (-) ⚪️Ind: 6 (-) x.com/LeftieStats/...

We've settled into a period where we won't see any more significant results for a few hours so I'm gonna take a screen break 🫡