🚨 POLL AVERAGE | Reform lead by 9.7pts ➡️ REF: 29.1% (+14.4) 🔴 LAB: 19.4% (-15.3) 🔵 CON: 19.3% (-5.1) 🟢 GRN: 13.0% (+6.3) 🟠 LD: 12.8% (+0.3) +/- vs GE2024

🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 5pts ➡️ REF: 25% (-3) 🔴 LAB: 20% (+2) 🔵 CON: 19% (+2) 🟢 GRN: 15% (-2) 🟠 LD: 15% (+1) Via @YouGov, 21-22 Dec (+/- vs 14-15 Dec)

🚨 NEW | Poll shows Greens ahead of Labour ➡️ REF: 25% (-1) 🔵 CON: 22% (+2) 🟢 GRN: 19% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 18% (=) 🟠 LD: 10% (-1) Via @LordAPolls, 11-15 Dec (+/- vs 17 Nov)

🚨 #GE2029 | Reform lead by 15pts ➡️ REF: 33% (+3) 🔵 CON: 18% (=) 🟢 GRN: 17% (-1) 🔴 LAB: 14% (=) 🟠 LD: 11% (-1) Via @FindoutnowUK, 18 Dec (+/- vs 10 Dec)

🚨 NEW | Labour drop to 10% in Senedd poll: 🟢 PLAID: 33% (+3) ➡️ REF: 30% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 10% (-4) 🔵 CON: 10% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 9% (+3) 🟠 LD: 6% (=) Via @YouGov, 28 Nov-10 Dec (+/- vs 4-10 Sep)

🚨 BREAKING | Former Labour Mayor and Your Party founder Jamie Driscoll has defected to Greens. Driscoll said: "I’m joining the Green Party because I see an organisation that’s serious about running our country in the long-term interests of all our people.” (Source: Greens)

URGENT: If you can make it to HMP Bronzefield PLEASE go, the state is trying to kill her

🚨 NEW | Zack Polanski has overtaken Jeremy Corbyn in favourability, according to the latest survey. 🟢 Zack Polanski: 23% (+3) 🔴 Jeremy Corbyn: 21% (-2) Via @YouGov, 14-15 Dec (+/- vs 16-17 Nov)

📊 Poll | Reform lead by 10pts ➡️ REF: 28% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 18% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 17% (+2) 🔵 CON: 17% (-1) 🟠 LD: 14% (=) Via @YouGov, 13-15 Dec (+/- vs 7-8 Dec)

📊BREAKING | New EHRC boss confirms she backs the anti-trans "bathroom ban" guidance. Mary-Ann Stephenson, Labour's new EHRC chair, has endorsed the EHRC's draft guidance that bans trans people from public spaces. She insists that trans people must "follow the rules" (Via BBC)

📊 Poll | Reform lead by 11pts ➡️ REF: 31% (-) 🔴 LAB: 20% (-1) 🔵 CON: 18% (+1) 🟠 LD: 13% (+2) 🟢 GRN: 12% (-1) Via @OpiniumResearch, 10-12 Dec (+/- vs 28 Nov)

Senedd poll | Reform lead by 1pt ➡️ REF: 27% (-3) 🟢 PLAID: 26% (+4) 🔴 LAB: 21% (-2) 🔵 CON: 12% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 9% (=) 🟠 LD: 3% (-1) Via @BeaufortLtd, 10-30 Nov (+/- vs 12 Oct)

📊 Poll | Reform lead by 12pts (Greens 2nd) ➡️ REF: 30% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 18% (=) 🔵 CON: 18% (-2) 🔴 LAB: 14% (=) 🟠 LD: 12% (+1) Via @FindoutnowUK, 10 Dec (+/- vs 3 Dec)

#GE2029 poll | SNP lead by 13pts 🟡 SNP: 33% (+2) ➡️ REF: 20% (+4) 🔴 LAB: 17% (-5) 🟢 GRN: 11% (+1) 🔵 CON: 11% (+1) 🟠 LD: 8% (-1) Via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov-3 Dec (+/- vs 12-18 Jun)

📊 Seat estimate | November 2025 (final) ➡️ REF: 344 (+339) 🟠 LD: 85 (+13) 🔴 LAB: 74 (-337) 🟡 SNP: 45 (+34) 🔵 CON: 34 (-87) 🟢 GRN: 25 (+21) 🟢 PLAID: 7 (+3) Reform majority of 39 seats (+/- vs GE2024)

📊 NEW | The leftist Broxtowe Alliance party has GAINED a council seat from Labour in a huge swing. 🟢 BA: 35% (+35) ➡️ REF: 22% (+22) 🟠 LD: 13% (-11) 🔴 LAB: 11% (-18) 🔵 CON: 10% (-12) Greens (11% prev) stood aside and backed Alliance.

📊 POLL | By a 20pt margin, Brits are **anti-Israel** ✅ Pro-Israel: 14% ❌ Anti-Israel: 34% 60% of Green voters are anti-Israel (just 4% pro). Via @YouGov, 25-26 Nov

📊 POLL | Labour drop to just **14%** ➡️ REF: 31% (-) 🔵 CON: 20% (+2) 🟢 GRN: 18% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 14% (-1) 🟠 LD: 11% (-1) Via @FindoutnowUK, 3 Dec (+/- vs 26 Nov)

🚨 Labour's net approval plunges to -60 ✅ Approve – 12% (-1) ❌ Disapprove – 72% (+3) Via @YouGov, 29 Nov-1 Dec (+/- vs 24 Nov)

📊 POLL | Support for Your Party plunges 📉 ➡️ REF: 31% (+4) 🔵 CON: 21% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 20% (-2) 🟠 LD: 12% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 8% (+2) 🟣 YP: 4% (-4) Via @Moreincommon_, 28 Nov-1 Dec (+/- vs July)

🚨 BREAKING | Your Party has voted to enshrine trans rights into the party's founding policy documents. Two motions, which both passed with a supermajority (with 10,000+ people voting) committed the new party to explicitly supporting "trans liberation". (Source: Your Party)

🗳️ Results of name ballot for new left party: ✅ Your Party: 37% ❌ Popular Alliance: 25% ❌ For The Many: 23% ❌ Our Party: 15% "Your Party" is officially named... Your Party.

📊 NEW | Reform drop, Greens surge ➡️ REF: 30% (-5) 🔴 LAB: 22% (+2) 🔵 CON: 20% (+3) 🟢 GRN: 12% (+5) 🟠 LD: 12% (-1) Via @BMGResearch, 25-27 Nov (+/- vs 26-28 Aug)

📊 NEW | Reform drop, Greens rise ➡️ REF: 29% (-5) 🔴 LAB: 22% (-) 🔵 CON: 18% (+1) 🟠 LD: 12% (+1) 🟢 GRN: 11% (+3) Via @Survation, 16-20 Nov (+/- vs 24-25 Sep)

📊 NOWCAST | Seat estimate (+/- vs GE24) ➡️ REF: 356 (+351) 🟠 LD: 84 (+12) 🔴 LAB: 54 (-357) 🟡 SNP: 45 (+36) 🔵 CON: 34 (-87) 🟢 GRN: 33 (+29) ⚪️ IND: 18 (+13) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 PC: 7 (+3) Reform MAJORITY of 62 seats

📊 NEW | Reform lead by 6pts ‼️ Greens tied with Labour ➡️ REF – 26% (-2) 🔵 CON – 20% (+2) 🟢 GRN – 18% (+1) 🔴 LAB – 18% (-) 🟠 LD – 11% (-) Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)

📊 Voting intention amongst Jewish Brits: 🔴 LAB – 30% (-14) 🔵 CON – 28% (-4) 🟢 GRN – 18% (+9) ➡️ REF – 11% (+8) 🟠 LD – 9% (+1) Via @jprinstitute, 8 Jun-20 Jul (+/- vs GE2024)

📊 NEW | As Labour launches crackdowns on refugees and trans people, Starmer's approval hits new low. ✅ Favourable – 19% (-2) ❌ Unfavourable – 73% (+1) Via YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 14 Oct)

📊 NEW | Ex-North of Tyne Mayor Jamie Driscoll has confirmed he will not be joining "Your Party". Driscoll posted on Facebook that the embattled party, founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana, "does not sit with my view of high standards in public life".

📊 NEW | Greens hit 17% with YouGov ➡️ REF: 27% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 19% (-) 🟢 GRN: 17% (+2) 🔵 CON: 17% (-1) 🟠 LD: 13% (-1) Via @YouGov, 16-17 Nov (+/- vs 9-10 Nov)

📊 NEW | As Labour announces fresh crackdown on refugees, their approval falls to an all-time low. ✅ Satisfied – 11% (-1) ❌ Dissatisfied – 82% (-) Via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 5 Nov (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)

📊 NEW | Greens surge to 15% with Ipsos ➡️ REF – 33% (-1) 🔴 LAB – 18% (-4) 🔵 CON – 16% (+2) 🟢 GRN – 15% (+3) 🟠 LD – 12% (-) Via @IpsosUK, November (+/- vs 11-17 Sep)

📊 POLL | Reform lead Greens by 16pts ➡️ REF – 33% (-) 🟢 GRN – 17% (-1) 🔵 CON – 16% (-) 🔴 LAB – 15% (-) 🟠 LD – 11% (-) Via @findoutnowUK, 12 Nov (+/- vs 5-6 Nov)

📊 POLL | Reform lead by 11pts Projected majority = 46 seats ➡️ REF – 31% (-) 🔴 LAB – 20% (+2) 🔵 CON – 19% (-) 🟠 LD – 14% (+1) 🟢 GRN – 12% (-) Via @Moreincommon_, 7-10 Nov (+/- vs 3 Nov)

Brianna Ghey was not killed by her phone, she was murdered because she was trans. Abusing her memory to justify heavy-handed acts of censorship that MPs have been desperate to impose for years is absolutely sickening

🚨 NEW | Greens lead with young people (18-25) 🟢 GRN – 32% (+16) 🔴 LAB – 25% (-18) ➡️ REF – 20% (+7) 🔵 CON – 11% (-1) 🟠 LD – 9% (-3) This is a proper weighted poll, not a subsample. Via @Savanta_UK, 4-7 Nov (+/- vs Mar)

📊 POLL | Reform lead by 13pts ‼️Labour plunge to third / Greens surge ➡️ REF – 32% (-3) 🔵 CON – 19% (+1) 🔴 LAB – 17% (-3) 🟢 GRN – 13% (+5) 🟠 LD – 13% (-1) Via Freshwater Strategy, Nov 2025 (+/- vs 3-5 Oct)

🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 13pts ➡️ REF – 33% (+3) 🔴 LAB – 20% (-) 🔵 CON – 17% (-1) 🟠 LD – 12% (-) 🟢 GRN – 11% (-1) Via @OpiniumResearch, 5-7 Nov (+/- vs 22-24 Oct)

🖊️ ARTICLE | Reform rides high - but why? Three years ago, Reform were polling 1%. Today they seem poised for a landslide GE win. How did this happen? And how did Labour fumble an easy layup so badly? Find out in my latest piece: www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october

🚨 POLL | Reform lead, Greens 2nd ➡️ REF – 33% (+1) 🟢 GRN – 18% (+1) 🔵 CON – 16% (-) 🔴 LAB – 15% (-1) 🟠 LD – 11% (-1) Via @FindoutnowUK, 5-6 Nov (+/- vs 29 Oct)

🚨 NEW | Labour falls to 3rd place ➡️ REF – 31% (-2) 🔵 CON – 19% (+1) 🔴 LAB – 18% (-3) 🟠 LD – 13% (+1) 🟢 GRN – 12% (+1) Via @Moreincommon_, 31 Oct-3 Nov (+/- vs 27 Oct)

🚨 NOWCAST | Reform to win majority ➡️ REF – 359 seats (+354) 🟠 LD – 83 seats (+11) 🔴 LAB – 71 seats (-339) 🔵 CON – 31 seats (-90) 🟡 SNP – 45 seats (+36) 🟢 GRN – 19 seats (+15) This uses my NEW seat projection method.

🚨 BREAKING | Greens rocket to **2nd place** ➡️ REF – 32% (-) 🟢 GRN – 17% (+2) 🔴 LAB – 16% (-) 🔵 CON – 16% (-1) 🟠 LD – 12% (-) Via @findoutnowuk, 29 Oct (+/- vs 22 Oct)

New York City polling averages: 🔵 Mamdani (D) - 48% ⚪️ Cuomo (I) - 32% 🔴 Sliwa (R) - 17% Based on polls conducted in October 2025

🚨 NEW | Reform lead by 12pts ➡️ REF – 33% (+2) 🔴 LAB – 21% (-1) 🔵 CON – 18% (-1) 🟠 LD – 12% (-1) 🟢 GRN – 11% (+1) Via @moreincommon_, 24-27 Oct (+/- vs 17-20 Oct)

🚨 NEW | Greens at 16%, 1pt shy of Labour ➡️ REF – 27% (+1) 🔴 LAB – 17% (-3) 🔵 CON – 17% (-) 🟢 GRN – 16% (+1) 🟠 LD – 15% (-) Via @YouGov, 26-27 Oct (+/- vs 19-20 Oct)

🚨 BREAKING | Greens surge to **17%** ➡️ REF – 28% (+1) 🔴 LAB – 18% (-4) 🔵 CON – 18% (-1) 🟢 GRN – 17% (+4) 🟠 LD – 11% (+1) Via @LordAPolls, 16-20 Oct (+/- vs 11-15 Sep)

🚨 NEW | Poll points to SNP Holyrood MAJORITY 🟡 SNP – 66 seats (+2) ➡️ REF – 16 seats (+16) 🟢 GRN – 15 seats (+7) 🔴 LAB – 14 seats (-8) 🟠 LD – 9 seats (+5) 🔵 CON – 9 seats (-22) My estimate based on @FindoutnowUK poll, 14 Oct

🚨 NEW | Left-winger Catherine Connolly WINS election for President of Ireland* in a landslide. 🔴 Connolly (IND) – 63.4% 🔵 Humphreys (FG) – 29.5% 🟢 Gavin (FF) – 7.1% *Note: President of Ireland is the head of state but is NOT the head of government like in US/France etc.

🚨 POLL | Reform lead by 15pts ➡️ REF – 32% (-) 🔵 CON – 17% (-) 🔴 LAB – 16% (+1) 🟢 GRN – 15% (-) 🟠 LD – 12% (-) Via @FindoutnowUK, 22 Oct (+/- vs 15 Oct)