Pew PEW PEW Free Persia. kmzview.com/YBFIZZekUk1t...

Now, at 0900Z on the 23rd of January, the Carrier Strike Group 3 should approximately be around the displayed position closing in on the Gulf of Oman. SE Iran is already in Range of Tomahawk (orange) in the Strike Group, air assets would require land based tanker assistance.

Circling back to my simulation of the US Carrier Strike Group towards Iran, it should be past India right now:

Here is my hypothesis of the arrival of the CSG3 to Iran, based off its currently known position. TL;DR: Saturday local time, so Ops probably Sat/Sun night. We have simulated:: - a speed of 18kt in the Malacca Straights, actual observed speed. - a cruise of 25kt - two UNREP at 15kt for 4-6h

Here we go. DDG-112 is leading the formation, followed by DDG-111, then the Lincoln and DDG-98 is at the end of the line. Currently moving at approx 18kts into the Singapore Straights. The Fleet Oiler is behind a dozen nm or so.

Mudhens out of Mildenhall moving towards CENTCOM globe.adsb.fi?icao=ae04fd,...

I have simulated the traveltimes of two US Carrier Strike Groups towards the "Iranian AO". See the results on this quick "1 take" video. TL;DR earliest expected arrival January 20th and 22nd, escorts will require UNREP.

Just created this "up to date" Infographic showing the "current state of global affairs".

Berlin has a problem with Eco-Terror: March 2024: Sabotage against High Voltage lines September 2025: Sabotage against 100kV line January 2026: Sabotage against HV cable bridge

Nothing is as shockingly naive, as the "European Commentators and Politicians" who thought that "the international rules" are worth anything without "the enforcer". USA gave you a warning, CN+RU started the games, time to grow up, Europe.

Hello IvanATC, this is JAKE37 operating under IDGAF, sorry, due regard.

Confirmed

It could well be that we have another run of a UK RAF RC-135 Rivet Joint (Airseeker) into the Black Sea. Since the incident of a Russian Fighter almost shooting one down, these missions will usually feature a fighter cover by a NATO state. RRR7207/ZZ664/43C38C

Turkish Air Force E-7 Wedgetail on approach to ETNG after a mission defending NATO from Russia over the baltics.

v1 of the Command "Radar Detection Grid." From bottom to top: F-22, J-20B, SU-57, S-70, Orlan UAV, Drone, Shahed-129, GJ-11, J-35A, F-35A and... Can you guess the Top Row? Radar Platforms used: E-7, E-3 and A-50U. cc @dimitrisd.bsky.social

This is unprecedented activity, especially for a Friday afternoon. We have four confirmed aerial refueling areas across the North Sea, Northern Germany, Poland, Baltic Ocean and Baltics. There is significant presence of Anti Submarine and ISR units, multiple CAP likely active.

Sneak preview of Emissions and Radar Resolution testing of E-7 Wedgetail vs E-3 RISP AWACS. Targets include commercial drones, Orlan, Shahed, GJ-11, J-35, Su-57 and will be expanded later.

Ukrainian AN-72 Coaler directly flying into polish Airspace. Notice that he ways flying at FL200 in Ukraine. This means that Russia has no way to touch it there. Possibly from the Ivano-Frankivsk area. VERY unusual. globe.adsb.fi?icao=508072

USAF Europe Base Spangdahlem is currently having an Italian 767 Tanker and a Priority coded C5M on approach. Both are rather unusual. globe.adsb.fi?icao=33fe77,...

Summary of Hypothesis on this week, it can be VERY escalatory, let me explain: Current events are NOT going to slow down until Sunday. Sunday is the election of Moldova, one that Russia heavily tried to influence with intelligence operations. Thread:

"Foxhound Inbound", a military grade simulation of the incursions of 3x Russian MIG-31 into Estonian Airspace on September 19th, 2025. We also analyze IF they could have been shot down, given the "robust" Doctrine in place now. youtu.be/pdwjtz_fAA8

E-3A Sentry NATO001 and USAF KC-135 61-0290 on their way to protecting the NATO Skies.

Typhoon Hungry. Need Food, Flankers please.

The catch of the day. Two 4-letter RCH C-17 seperated by about a minute descending to Ramstein.

Attention Spotters/OSINT: The German Army will conduct very low level helicopter operations in the area marked red between the 8th and 10th of July, down to 3m AGL. The German Air Force will conduct Eurofighter/Tornado operations in the area marked purple during the same times, down to 150m AGL.

Quite the interesting combination of Patterns. I am sure that NL Spotters are having a field day.

Mapping #FORTE10 currently active over Eastern Med: The Radar Line of Sight against a 1000ft AGL target (i.e. Drone) is seen on the "blue overlay" screen. The Radar Line of Sight against a 10ft AGL target (i.e. something on the ground) is seen on the "pink overlay" screen.

Unpacking the detailed timeline of the Fordow Strike using the actual attack time: We can calculate backwards to establish the timeline from the known strike time, 02:00 AM Local or 23:00Z, and derive a likely timeline. #iran #fordow #b2 #strike #usaf

Hey, where is my cookie? #iran #fordow

Large thermal anomalies near Ab Pakshan, Iran 30.20759,51.57193 - 39RWP5504641926 30.12274,51.62043 - 39RWP5976532548

The Airlift to CENTCOM AO continues, this one happened to truck along nearby, a C-17 out of Dover as the sun is about to set.

US P-8 Poseidon AE687D out of Lossiemouth spotted over Germany in SE direction. globe.adsbexchange.com?icao=ae687d

The mighty EATC A330-MRTT, Team NATO ! The most powerful tanker in the world. Nobody Kicks Ass Without Tanker Gas

Possibly a F-22 Pull starting to CENTCOM. Really interesting Detail though, the French, who operate their own E-3 Awacs, casually positioned one right in the flight path.

A C-5 out of Aviano with a 4 letter priority code

Think positive: #Iran will have nightlife, pub culture soon. What could be good names? Can we invent new Drinks? Tehran Tonics Persian Pour Booze & Bazaar Saffron Sips Mullah’s Mule Tehran Toast

Three ballistic missles were just launched at Isfahan towards Israel at 22:17Z #iran #israel

I tried to simulate the "zero hour" in CMO. Here is one possible iteration of the first few hours of the Operation Rising Lion, #Israel vs #Iran, condensed to a 50 Minute Simulation. cc @dimitrisd.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ymfp...

It’s over. The King is coming home, and US Air Force will kick in the door for him.

The KC-46 that went to Ramstein a few days ago return to the middle east, most likely with fighters in tow. GOLD Callsign, altitude under 30k ft -> Moving Combat Aircraft

Here is a quick+dirty Mission Plan for a B-2 Strike Package from Whiteman AFB to "Centcom AO" utilizing Tankers from McGuire, Moron and Souda Bay, avoiding Overflight over any foreign Airspace before "Israel and beyond". A ~30 Hour Mission for the B-2.

Out of Tampa: RCH032 Hex: AE04F6 over Germany moving towards (supposedly) CENTCOM AO. It is one of the tankers moving across the pond.

A huge movement of Tankers out of USA towards Europe/Middle East just started. 15+, a mix of KC-135 and KC-46 globe.adsbexchange.com?icao=ae035c,...

At least four KC-46 are currently moving from "CENTCOM AO" towards Ramstein. globe.adsbexchange.com?icao=ae574d,...

The biggest strategical blunder of Iran, apart from underestimating the resolve of Israel after October 7th, was providing Russia with Shahed drones. This allowed Ukraine, and the west, to actively develop strategies and systems to mitigate mass Shahed attacks.

🚨BREAKING: Islamic Republic of Iran

Another flight leaving #Teheran #iran, a 747 Cargo just now. fr24.com/EPFAB/3acca376

Iran CAN not win the long game, it has lost. #Iran has its remaining ballistic missles, cruise missles and suicide drones. The stocks of all are under constant attack. Once that is done, Iran is out of means to attack Israel, while #Israel can keep this up, destroying the regime.

IDF with a very clear message to Iran, the highest level of trolling. globe.adsbexchange.com?icao=738a4d