Australia (Australian Capital Territory): Former Canberra Liberals (LIB, centre-right) leader and Yerrabi MLA Leanne Castley has resigned from the party. She will sit on the crossbench as an independent for the rest of the term. ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia #ACTpol #auspol

Australia, YouGov poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 52.5% (-0.5) ONP (Right): 47.5% (+0.5) +/- vs. 12-19 May 2026 Fieldwork: 26 May - 02 June 2026 Sample size: 1,471 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, YouGov poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 51.5% (-0.5) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 48.5% (+0.5) +/- vs. 12-19 May 2026 Fieldwork: 26 May - 02 June 2026 Sample size: 1,471 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, YouGov poll: ONP (Right): 29% (+4) ALP (Centre-left): 26% (-2) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 20% (-3) GRN (Green): 13% +/- vs. 12-19 May 2026 Fieldwork: 26 May - 02 June 2026 Sample size: 1,471 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Fox & Hedgehog poll: Three-Party Preferred ALP (Centre-left): 43% (-3) ONP (Right): 30% (+3) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 27% +/- vs. 24-25 March 2026 Fieldwork: 25-26 May 2026 Sample size: 1,700 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 55.5% (+2.5) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 44.5% (-2.5) +/- vs. 18-24 May 2026 Fieldwork: 25-31 May 2026 Sample size: 1,542 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ALP (Centre-left): 27% (-0.5) ONP (Right): 27% (+1.5) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 20% (-3) GRN (Green): 13.5% +/- vs. 18-24 May 2026 Fieldwork: 25-31 May 2026 Sample size: 1,542 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Redbridge Group & Accent Research poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 51% (-4) ONP (Right): 49% (+4) +/- vs. 24-30 April 2026 Fieldwork: 25-28 May 2026 Sample size: 1,005 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Redbridge Group & Accent Research poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 51% (-3) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 49% (+3) +/- vs. 24-30 April 2026 Fieldwork: 25-28 May 2026 Sample size: 1,005 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Redbridge Group & Accent Research poll: ONP (Right): 31% (+3) ALP (Centre-left): 28% (-3) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 20% (-1) GRN (Green): 12% (+1) +/- vs. 29 April - 14 May 2026 Fieldwork: 25-28 May 2026 Sample size: 1,005 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Fox & Hedgehog poll: Two-Party Preferred, L/NP v ONP L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 58% (-2) ONP (Right): 42% (+2) +/- vs. 24-25 March 2026 Fieldwork: 25-26 May 2026 Sample size: 1,700 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Fox & Hedgehog poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 54% (-2) ONP (Right): 46% (+2) +/- vs. 24-25 March 2026 Fieldwork: 25-26 May 2026 Sample size: 1,700 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Fox & Hedgehog poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 51% (+2) ALP (Centre-left): 49% (-2) +/- vs. 24-25 March 2026 Fieldwork: 25-26 May 2026 Sample size: 1,700 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Fox & Hedgehog poll: Scenario: a Teal-style party is formed. ALP (Centre-left): 26% (-3) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 26% (+1) ONP (Right): 26% (-1) GRN (Green): 9% (-1) ... +/- vs. standard poll Fieldwork: 25-26 May 2026 Sample size: 1,700 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Fox & Hedgehog poll: ALP (Centre-left): 29% (-1) ONP (Right): 27% (+4) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 25% (+2) GRN (Green): 10% (-3) +/- vs. 24-25 March 2026 Fieldwork: 25-26 May 2026 Sample size: 1,700 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Agenda C Synesis poll: ALP (Centre-left): 33% (-2) ONP (Right): 27% (+21) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 20% (-12) GRN (Green): 11% (-1) +/- vs. Last election result Fieldwork: 22-26 May 2026 Sample size: 1,232 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Essential Research poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 51% (+2) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 49% (-2) +/- vs. 22-27 April 2026 Fieldwork: 20-24 May 2026 Sample size: 1,027 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Essential Research poll: ALP (Centre-left): 30% (-2) ONP (Right): 29% (+3) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 24% (-1) GRN (Green): 11% (-1) +/- vs. 22-27 April 2026 Fieldwork: 20-24 May 2026 Sample size: 1,027 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 53.5% (-0.5) ONP (Right): 46.5% (+0.5) +/- vs. 11-17 May 2026 Fieldwork: 18-24 May 2026 Sample size: 1,613 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 53% (-1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (+1) +/- vs. 11-17 May 2026 Fieldwork: 18-24 May 2026 Sample size: 1,613 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ALP (Centre-left): 27.5% (-2) ONP (Right): 25.5% (+1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 23% (-1) GRN (Green): 13.5% (+2) +/- vs. 11-17 May 2026 Fieldwork: 18-24 May 2026 Sample size: 1,613 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, DemosAU poll: ONP (Right): 28% (+2) ALP (Centre-left): 26% L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 23% GRN (Green): 13% +/- vs. 09-14 April 2026 Fieldwork: 15-20 May 2026 Sample size: 1,502 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, YouGov poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 53% (-4) ONP (Right): 47% (+4) +/- vs. 28 April - 05 May 2026 Fieldwork: 12-19 May 2026 Sample size: 1,500 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, YouGov poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 52% (-2) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 48% (+2) +/- vs. 28 April - 05 May 2026 Fieldwork: 12-19 May 2026 Sample size: 1,500 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, YouGov poll: ALP (Centre-left): 28% (-2) ONP (Right): 25% (+1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 23% (+2) GRN (Green): 13% (-1) +/- vs. 28 April - 05 May 2026 Fieldwork: 12-19 May 2026 Sample size: 1,500 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 54% (+3) ONP (Right): 46% (-3) +/- vs. 13-14 May 2026 Fieldwork: 11-17 May 2026 Sample size: 1,668 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 54% (-1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 46% (+1) +/- vs. 13-14 May 2026 Fieldwork: 11-17 May 2026 Sample size: 1,668 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ALP (Centre-left): 29.5% (+1) ONP (Right): 24.5% (-7.5) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 24% (+7.5) GRN (Green): 11.5% +/- vs. 13-14 May 2026 Fieldwork: 11-17 May 2026 Sample size: 1,668 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Redbridge Group & Accent Research MRP poll: Seat projection, lower house ALP (Centre-left): 76 (-18) ONP (Right): 53 (+53) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 12 (-31) ... +/- vs. Last election result Fieldwork: 29 April - 14 May 2026 Sample size: 6,015 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Redbridge Group & Accent Research MRP poll: ALP (Centre-left): 31% ONP (Right): 28% (+1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 21% (-1) GRN (Green): 11% (-2) +/- vs. 24-30 April 2026 Fieldwork: 29 April - 14 May 2026 Sample size: 6,015 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Newspoll poll: ALP (Centre-left): 31% ONP (Right): 27% (+3) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 20% (-1) GRN (Green): 12% (-1) +/- vs. 13-16 April 2026 Fieldwork: 14-17 May 2026 Sample size: 1,252 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Resolve Strategic poll: ALP (Centre-left): 29% (-3) ONP (Right): 24% (+2) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 23% GRN (Green): 12% +/- vs. 13-18 April 2026 Fieldwork: 13-16 May 2026 Sample size: 1,800 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Freshwater Strategy poll: ALP (Centre-left): 29% (-3) ONP (Right): 26% (+1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 25% (+2) GRN (Green): 11% (-1) +/- vs. 28-30 April 2026 Fieldwork: 13-15 May 2026 Sample size: 1,384 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Wolf & Smith poll: ALP (Centre-left): 30% (-6) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 24% (-6) ONP (Right): 22% GRN (Green): 11% +/- vs. 18-30 July 2025 Fieldwork: 13 May 2026 Sample size: 1,002 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll: Preferred prime minister Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 23% Luxon (National-Centre-right): 20% Peters (NZ-First-*): 17% (+2) Swarbrick (Green-Green): 10% (+1) ... +/- vs. 01-02 April 2026 Fieldwork: 01-10 May 2026 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Talbot Mills poll: Labour (Centre-left): 36% National (Centre-right): 29% NZ First (*): 14% (-1) Green (Green): 9% (+2) ACT (Libertarian): 7% (-1) Māori (Indigenous): 2% +/- vs. 01-02 April 2026 Fieldwork: 01-10 May 2026 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Australia: Pauline Hanson’s One Nation (ONP, Right) reaches a record-high 32% primary vote in the latest Roy Morgan poll. This is the first time ONP leads a primary vote poll. ➤ http://oceaniaelects.com/australia/

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, L/NP v ONP ONP (Right): 51% L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 49% +/- vs. 04-10 May 2026 Fieldwork: 13-14 May 2026 Sample size: 2,348 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 51% ONP (Right): 49% +/- vs. 04-10 May 2026 Fieldwork: 13-14 May 2026 Sample size: 2,348 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 55% (+1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 45% (-2) +/- vs. 04-10 May 2026 Fieldwork: 13-14 May 2026 Sample size: 2,348 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ONP (Right): 32% (+10) ALP (Centre-left): 28.5% (-2) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 16.5% (-8.5) GRN (Green): 11.5% +/- vs. 04-10 May 2026 Fieldwork: 13-14 May 2026 Sample size: 2,348 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 53.5% (-1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 46.5% (+1) +/- vs. 27 April - 03 May 2026 Fieldwork: 04-10 May 2026 Sample size: 1,605 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 53.5% (-1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 46.5% (+1) +/- vs. 27 April - 03 May 2026 Fieldwork: 04-10 May 2026 Sample size: 1,605 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ALP (Centre-left): 30.5% (+1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 25% (+1) ONP (Right): 22% (+0.5) GRN (Green): 11.5% (-1.5) +/- vs. 27 April - 03 May 2026 Fieldwork: 04-10 May 2026 Sample size: 1,605 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Nauru: Parliament has passed a constitutional amendment to rename the country 'Naoero' to better reflect its indigenous heritage and language. President David Adeang (*) stated a national referendum will be held to finalise the change. ➤ oceaniaelects.com/nauru #Nauru #Naoero

New Zealand, Curia poll: Preferred prime minister Luxon (National-Centre-right): 22% (+1) Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 19% (-3) Peters (NZ-First-*): 12% Swarbrick (Green-Green): 5% (-2) ... +/- vs. 01-02 April 2026 Fieldwork: 03-07 May 2026 Sample size: 1,000 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Curia poll: Seat projection Labour (Centre-left): 41 (-1) National (Centre-right): 39 (+2) NZ First (*): 15 (-2) Green (Green): 12 (+2) ACT (Libertarian): 8 (-3) ... +/- vs. 01-02 April 2026 Fieldwork: 03-07 May 2026 Sample size: 1,000 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Curia poll: Labour (Centre-left): 32% (-1) National (Centre-right): 30% NZ First (*): 12% (-2) Green (Green): 10% (+2) ACT (Libertarian): 7% (-2) Māori (Indigenous): 4% (+1) ... +/- vs. 01-02 April 2026 Fieldwork: 03-07 May 2026 Sample size: 1,000 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand: National Party (Centre-right) is on 25.5% in the latest Roy Morgan poll, its lowest showing in an opinion poll since November 2021. If repeated in the next general election, it would be as bad as the result they got in the 2020 general election.

New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll: Seat projection Labour (Centre-left): 42 National (Centre-right): 32 (-1) NZ First (*): 15 (+1) Green (Green): 14 ACT (Libertarian): 13 ... +/- vs. 23 February - 22 March 2026 Fieldwork: 30 March - 26 April 2026 Sample size: 887 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand