#Cameroon's real election isn't on the ballot. It's the behind-the-scenes battle for who succeeds Paul Biya. Our new report analyses the clash between the First Lady's clan and the state's powerful bureaucrat. #Politics #Africa #Biya sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/cameroons-...

The Week Ahead: From Nigerian market squabbles to Malawian comebacks, this week we are being served a masterclass in political and economic theatre by a continent united by its flair for the dramatic. #Africa #WestAfrica #Politics #Economy sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...

The price of a security drawdown Interviews with residents in #Nigeria's Benue State (bit.ly/3IMcvPh) revealed that the Nigerian Army's Operation Whirl Stroke has lost momentum, with communities now accusing security forces of complicity or indifference.

Chart of the week: Bandit bargains Communities in Northern #Nigeria are making fragile peace deals with bandits, offering short-term respite but no lasting security solution.

A deadly, youth-led protest over power and water shortages in Madagascar has prompted a capital city curfew and a government apology.

The Week Ahead: West Africa seeks stability amidst fragile truces from 🇳🇬#Nigeria's labour strikes to 🇬🇭#Ghana's debt relief and Uber's Abidjan🇨🇮 exit.

Chart of the week 🇳🇬#Nigeria's economy since 2010: A boom, then a bust. After a tough recession & weak recovery, recent reforms are causing pain but may finally be stabilising growth and taming inflation. Is this a turning point? #Economy #Inflation #Reforms

The link is clear: when #Nigeria's oil production goes up, inflation comes down. H1 2025 proved it: output climbed to 1.71m bpd, and inflation fell sharply. For macroeconomic stability, securing oil infrastructure is non-negotiable.

Africa Watch: The verdict is in, you’re guilty of being colonial 🇧🇫#BurkinaFaso, 🇲🇱#Mali, & 🇳🇪#Niger have jointly quit the ICC, denouncing it as a tool of "neocolonial repression."

🇳🇬#Nigeria's economy grows, its oil revenues slump & miners are ordered to sign community deals. 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast bets on gold and digital reform. 🇬🇭#Ghana deports migrants. The Sahel juntas quit the ICC. We need a stronger WiFi signal for the drama

#TWA: African startups smash records, East Africa dominates. 🇳🇬 inflation dips, ₦ hits 7-month high, oil losses hit 16-yr low, but security fears remain. Tinubu lets Fubara return. 🇨🇮 signs US power deal, 🇬🇭 accepts US deportees.

Benue State's pastoral conflict is now a relentless, year-round crisis, intensified by security drawdowns and soaring fatalities since 2009.

Despie being the world's leading producer of shea nuts, #Nigeria 🇳🇬is failing to capitalise on the lucrative shea butter industry💇‍♀️

The ICC has begun historic hearings against Joseph Kony for war crimes, its first case to proceed without the accused present. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/icc-moves-...

🌍Africa balances reform and crisis. From 🇳🇬Nigeria’s economic tightrope to 🇬🇭Ghana’s dollar rules, 🇨🇮Côte d’Ivoire's contentious polls & the International Criminal Court's historic case against Kony. A continent of stark contrasts.

#Africa Watch #America 🇺🇸 suspends all visa processing in #Zimbabwe 🇿🇼without explanation, as African nations face diplomatic tensions over accepting US deportees.

Capital, competition and consolidation: How #Nigeria's Tier-2 banks are responding to the Central Bank of Nigeria's 2026 recapitalisation order.

Public sentiment, diplomatic implications Thousands protest across #Kenya, #Senegal, & #SouthAfrica, demonstrate for #Palestine, urging action over the #GazaFamine.

🌍#Africa's paradox: #America🇺🇸 halts visas as Africans show global solidarity. #Nigeria🇳🇬 inks air deals while imposing new port taxes, and #Ghana🇬🇭 courts foreign cash. A continent juggling high ambitions is a study in contrasts.

🇳🇬Over the last year, #Nigeria’s 🦹‍♂️kidnap-for-ransom crisis has consolidated into a structured, 💸profit-seeking industry with profits of at least ₦2.57 billion (about $1.66 million).

The week ahead #Nigeria 🇳🇬 boosts oil output🛢️, secures pipelines, and rushes a major corruption trial amid #US 🇺🇸arms deals and diplomatic spats; regional security🔐 improves.

Over the last 15 years, @officialefcc.bsky.social's prosecution and conviction rates have steadily climbed. Volume and efficiency have improved, but challenges like selective high-profile prosecutions, plea bargains, and judicial delays persist.

🌍 🇬🇭#Ghana mourns ministers lost in a crash. 🇪🇹🤝🇸🇴 #Ethiopia & #Somalia talk peace while #Sudan bleeds. 🇳🇬#Nigeria’s reforms clash with rising insecurity—#Africa’s chaos and progress are sharing a taxi 🚕.

🚀 Bank shares surge as capital floods in, while @nnpclimited holds refineries amid CEO rumours. Oil output up? So are fuel prices! 🇬🇭 #Ghana cuts rates. 🇹🇳🤝🇮🇹 #Tunisia-#Italy deal. #America criticises #Nigeria’s spending—just another manic Friday! sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...

Since August 2021, #IPOB's "sit-at-home" order in #Nigeria's Southeast has caused severe economic damage ($4.75B loss) and displaced thousands. Original report: www.sbmintel.com/2025/05/four...

Démocratie en sursis : Le pari du quatrième mandat de Ouattara 🇨🇮#cotedivoire's democratic decline mirrors Francophone #Africa’s crisis and threatens the future of democracy in West Africa. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/democracy-...

Deep but fragile links: Nigerians drive $683M informal trade, $1B in education, yet disputes spark tensions. Can history repeat? 1969 expulsions, 2019 border closure. Fixes? Formalise trade, fight #FakeNews, boost diplomacy. #Ghana #Nigeria sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/nigeria-mu...

🏆🇳🇬 #Nigeria's sporting rewards: Cash gifts come faster, but land promises lag. 🏅💰🏡 After #WAFCON2024, Super Falcons got cash & property pledges—but history shows land rewards (1994 Eagles, '96 Olympians) often take decades. 📌 Cash? Improving. Land? Still waiting.

The week ahead - Whirlwind of paradoxes #Nigeria’s inflation falls but telecoms burn; oil revenue drops as GDP rebases higher. #Ghana boosts oil output, #Cameroon’s leader reshuffles military for re-election. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...

The cost of cooking a pot of Jollof Rice has skyrocketed 🚀📉: 🇳🇬 #Nigeria: Up 153% since 2023, now ₦27,528 🇬🇭 #Ghana: Rose to GH₵420 📌 Key drivers: Currency crash, insecurity, supply chain chaos, and fuel subsidy cuts.

Under @MBuhari (2015–2023), #Nigeria saw: 📉 GDP/capita -38% 📈 Inflation 24.66% (>2X) 🛢️ Oil output -30% 👨⚕️ 1 doctor/9K (was 1:4K) 📚 10.5M kids out of school; Edu budget halved 🔫 15K+ violent deaths/year avg 💸 Debt 4X 🇳🇬 Result: Poorer, less secure, deeper in debt.

Africa Watch: #Ethiopia completes #GERD, #Africa's largest hydro dam, despite tensions with #Egypt. The $4bn project aims to generate 6,000MW and boost regional energy exports.

Video: "What we built in six years was destroyed in six hours!" #Nigeria's economic future is at stake! Arbitrary law enforcement & disregard for property rights are scaring investors away. Time for urgent reforms to restore confidence!

The week ahead - Lines in the sand #Nigeria's week saw crude export tightening, military gains against insecurity, and boardroom reforms. Revenues rose but missed targets as 2027 politicking began. Meanwhile, #Ghana's Chinese factories boomed, and the #DRC, #Rwanda signed a delicate peace accord.

#Nigeria's bombing threat evolved from a single insurgency into a diffused, nationwide security problem involving bandits and separatist groups.

#Nigeria's telecommunications sector drives economic growth, contributing 14.4% to GDP, despite facing macroeconomic and structural challenges ahead.

The #IranIsraelConflict gives #WestAfrica precarious oil gains but deepens geopolitical fractures. While #Nigeria urges neutrality, coastal states are likely to align with the West, and the Sahelian juntas support Iran, increasing regional instability.

Chart of the week: Feeding a nation #Nigeria's rice production has fluctuated from early struggles and import reliance to recent growth initiatives, yet it still faces a deficit due to population and policy challenges.

#Africa Watch: #Niger expels #China oil workers over compliance issues; #Guinea cancels mining permits. Meanwhile, the #EU funds a trade corridor and #Togo aids women entrepreneurs.

#Nigeria eyes massive borrowing, restarts Ogoniland oil. Abuja landlords face rent crackdown. Data use drops. Opposition unites. #Ghana's judiciary is being put to the test. #Niger asserts resource control. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a... Listen www.buzzsprout.com/2360617/epis...

In March, some Nigerian leaders warned of faltering democracy, mirroring Sub-Saharan #Africa's mixed picture of democratic progress, setbacks, and persistent authoritarianism.

At its 50th anniversary, ECOWAS faces a critical juncture, its economic integration goals undermined by political instability and military coups. The recent exit of three member states and weakened enforcement of democratic norms highlight a deepening legitimacy crisis, demanding urgent reforms.

#Africa Watch: Reprisals #France expelled Algerian diplomats, retaliating for #Algeria's expulsion of French officials. Concurrently, #AlQaeda affiliate JNIM claimed killing 200 soldiers in a #BurkinaFaso army base attack.

Since August 2021, #IPOB's "sit-at-home" order in #Nigeria's Southeast has caused severe economic damage ($4.75B loss) and displaced thousands, fueled by militant violence and government responses.

The week ahead - High fidelity #Africa faces multifaceted challenges: #France-#Algeria tensions, #Ghana's power crisis, #Nigeria's mixed energy fortunes, surging food inflation, and a major bank crisis. sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a... Listen at www.buzzsprout.com/2360617/epis...