We could see enough instability aloft to generate a few isolated thunderstorms on Monday as a front moves inland across the region. This is the latest lightning risk outlook from the NWS in Medford.

Current surface temperature as of 6 AM show fairly mild conditions west of the Cascades, but some temperatures near or even below freezing east of the Cascades. A Frost Advisory is in effect for portions of Klamath, Lake and Modoc counties through 8 AM.

The 7 day GFS estimated precipitation outlook is a bit more bullish than the European model. They tend to struggle this time of year reporting accurate numbers. We will see wetter conditions arrive early next week.

High temperatures today will climb a few more degrees. Here is a look at the latest GFS model run projected highs across the region.

Clear skies are mostly in place across the region this morning. There could be a few areas of fog and low clouds along the immediate coast.

The European model run this afternoon is showing some measurable precipitation potential as we head into next week. We are likely to see chances increase for portions of our forecast area as early as Monday into Tuesday.

The 6-10 day temperature and precipitation outlooks which takes us into early next week, indicates near normal temperatures and above normal precipitation chances. Overall the heat will hold off for a bit more, but will return as we head into middle of June.

Here is a look at peak wind gusts over the next 24 hours. Winds could become gusty at times as the front shifts east of the region today.

Another spectacular morning in the coast range. Here is a look at the clouds moving inland across Curry County from the Red Mound webcam.

FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM PDT THURSDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures of 33 to 36 degrees will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Valleys in Klamath, Lake, eastern Siskiyou and Modoc counties and higher terrain such as the Winter Rim.

The Storm Prediction Center at NOAA is indicating the bulk of the instability should be focused to the northeast. We could still see some isolated cumulus buildups across portions of Lake County later this afternoon and evening.

Most areas should be at least 10 degrees cooler than yesterday. Here is a look at the latest GFS model run projections across the region.

Visible satellite imagery this morning shows clouds moving over the region. This is from a weakening front moving inland today. It will allow temperatures to cool once again back to near normal for this time of year.

Radar returns are picking up on some lighter bands on moisture offshore. As the cold front moves east overnight we could see some light precipitation develop along the coast.

It was a fairly warm day across the region with highs trending above normal. Here are the current peak surface temperatures as of 5 PM this evening.

Visible satellite imagery shows a low pressure system spinning offshore in the northeast Pacific. We are seeing clouds increase as a cold front builds off to our west. This will result in cooler temps, gusty winds and a chance of light precipitation along the coast by tomorrow.

The GFS model run this morning is backing off on precipitation for a good portion of our region over the next 6-7 days. We will have to see if this changes over the next few model runs.

Looking ahead to the 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlooks we will see a trend back to above normal temps and below normal precipitation chances for our forecast area.

There is a chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday afternoon and evening mostly across northern and eastern Lake County. Here is the latest lightning risk map from the NWS in Medford.

Water vapor imagery this morning shows a dry airmass over the region. A few clouds will move inland throughout the day as a weak front approaches from the west. High pressure will result in another day of above normal temperatures.

It is an incredible late spring morning across the region with plenty of sunshine in the forecast. Here is a look at snow capped Mt. Shasta from the Soda Ridge webcam.

Updated GFS model run this morning showing where we might see some measurable rainfall heading into later this week and early next week. These are estimates and subject to changes with each new run.

We will see above normal temperatures early in the week, followed by cooler than normal temperatures to close out the work week and heading into the upcoming weekend. Precipitation chances also trend above normal during this time period.

High pressure is now firmly in place across the forecast area. We are seeing plenty of clear skies and sunshine today with temperatures trending above normal once again.

High pressure is in control of our weather over the next few days, but we will see a return of another weaker front around middle of next week. This will result in a return of temperatures slightly below normal by this weekend.

The last 7 days have produced some significantly above average rainfall amounts for portions of the region. You can really see where showers and thunderstorms were most prevalent.

NWS Medford: “A passing upper ridge followed by zonal flow looks to bring a week of unimpactful weather. Seasonal temperatures over this weekend precede a quick warmup on Monday and Tuesday. The start of the week will have the warmest temperatures, but Advisory-level heat is not expected…”

The European model run this morning is indicating a drier solution than the GFS over the next week. Overall precipitation chances look to be limited for most of our region. This could change however as more data becomes available.

It is a spectacular cloud free morning at Crater Lake National Park. You sure can’t beat the view of the lake from the Sinnott Overlook webcam.

High temperatures today will warm a bit more but still remain near normal for this time of year. Here is a look at the projected high temperatures across the region.

The GFS model is projecting another front could arrive late next week. The 7 day precipitation estimates are showing a return of some measurable rainfall during this time period. Something to keep a close eye on for our region.

Winds will pick up again along the coast and coast range as the pressure gradient tightens, with high pressure building over the region. Here is a look at the 24 hour peak wind gusts estimates.

The 8-14 day temperature and precipitation outlooks indicate above normal temperatures developing along with near to below normal precipitation chances.

The Storm Prediction Center at NOAA keeps a chance of isolated thunderstorms across portions of Northern California later this afternoon and evening. This will include portions of Modoc and Siskiyou counties.

High temperatures today will be a few degrees warmer overall. We will see temperatures near seasonal norms for this time of year. Here is a look at the GFS model projections.

There are plenty of areas seeing lower level clouds this morning with all of the recent moisture. We are also seeing some mid level cloud cover as the low still is sending waves as it is well east of our region. Look for clouds to burn off and more sunshine by this afternoon.

A cloud and snow capped Mt. Shasta. With the latest thunderstorm and shower activity fresh snow has fallen on the mountain. The view is courtesy of the Hammond Ranch webcam.

Precipitation amounts over the next 24 hours will be significantly lighter than what we saw develop yesterday. Here are the latest GFS model run projections through early tomorrow morning.

The Storm Prediction Center at NOAA is showing most of the thunderstorm potential today will be focused well to our east. Areas in light green could see an isolated storm develop later this afternoon and evening.

The 48 hour precipitation observations shows where the heaviest amounts were recorded from widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. Very heavy rainfall was observed east of the Cascades.

Another cooler than normal day is in store for the region as clouds and showers continue. Here are the latest GFS model run projected highs.

The airmass satellite imagery this morning shows plenty of clouds over the region. The low is shifting east today but we will still see a few areas of showers and thunderstorms develop before it departs.

Animated radar returns this evening showing areas of showers and a few thunderstorms still tracking more southerly. We are starting to see some showers move into Klamath, Siskiyou and Jackson counties.

Lots of lightning again this evening generated by severe warned storms east of the Cascades. Here is a look at the latest strikes over the last hour. Pretty impressive are of strikes across central and eastern Oregon.

A few severe warned thunderstorms are developing east of the Cascades. You can see where these are tracking in the animated radar returns. Most of these will track off to our northeast. Showers continue west of the Cascades with more limited instability due to cloud cover.

Animated radar returns shows where showers and thunderstorms are developing late this morning. These are generally tracking from east to west.

Here is the latest GFS model run 48 hour precipitation projections from now through Saturday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will bring more widespread precipitation potential across the region.

The 24 hour observed precipitation amounts have been highly variable depending on if you experienced a showers or thunderstorm develop where you live. Here is a look at where measurable precipitation was observed.

The Storm Prediction Center at NOAA has issued a marginal and slight risk of severe thunderstorms mostly for areas to our northeast. We could however still see strong to severe storms develop across portions of Klamath and Lake counties. Damaging winds, large hail and possibly a few tornadoes.

High temperatures today will be quite similar to what we saw develop yesterday. We will still be slightly below normal for most areas.