Recent data suggests #Russia is losing troops in #Ukraine faster than it recruits — at least in some recent months. Long-term risks for Russia include manpower shortages, declining troop quality, rising economic strain, and growing pressure for another mobilization. #Kremlin

#Cairo has reportedly offered to work with African partners to support 🇪🇹 Ethiopia’s access to the #RedSea if flexibility is shown in talks with 🇪🇬 Egypt — but many Egyptians believe that in the end, trust over the Nile dispute may never fully exist. #Asmara

Tensions rising betw the Fed Gov of #Ethiopia & #Tigray after five disputed districts, including Wolkait and Raya, were declared no longer part of Tigray for now. Tigray leaders — including Getachew Reda — reject the move, which is uniting #Tigrayans, including the opposition.

Saudi diplomacy ramps up in the Horn of Africa after #Eritrean Pres #Afwerki warns #Riyadh over rising UAE influence. With tensions high between Asmara and Addis Ababa, Saudi officials push to avert conflict while urging Abiy Ahmed to halt support for the RSF.

Satellite images show a noticeable increase in U.S. military aircraft, missile defenses, and carrier activity around Iran — signaling heightened readiness. Analysts say it could be deterrence, negotiation pressure, or preparation for possible strikes. Nothing confirmed yet.

#Morocco’s economy is growing, but benefits aren’t reaching everyone. Urban hubs thrive while rural areas lag, informal workers struggle, and youth unemployment stays high. Inclusive growth needs better education, infrastructure, and social protection. #Rabat #Maghreb

Worries in #Mexico are high after the killing of a cartel leader — retaliatory attacks, burning vehicles, roadblocks & school closures show immediate instability, while the biggest risk is a violent power vacuum, internal #cartel fights & a wider surge in violence across states.

A widening #Saudi-UAE rift is turning into a narrative war — with Israel at the center. Accusations that #AbuDhabi acts as #Israel’s proxy are fueling media battles, exposing deeper rivalry over Yemen, regional influence, and the future of normalization.

#Ethiopian PM #Abiy Ahmed’s speech goes beyond defense — invoking #Eritrean port ambitions and slogans about refusing to remain landlocked during a military ceremony is a clear provocation, signaling expansionist intent rather than simple security messaging.

The killing of cartel leader #Cervantes — head of the #JNGN — triggered widespread retaliation such as burning vehicles, road blockades, and attacks across several #Mexican states, highlighting how large, armed, and organized these groups remain even when leaders are removed.

Reports on the #Taliban ’s new criminal code say domestic violence may only be punished when it causes visible injuries like broken bones or open wounds — a move widely condemned by human rights groups as weakening protections for women in #Afghanistan. #Kabul

#AfDB approved $58M to expand #Eritrea’s electricity network through clean energy & rural connections. The impact: more households powered, lower diesel dependence, better services for schools & clinics & stronger conditions for small businesses. #Asmara

#Ukraine’s fastest battlefield gains in months came from exploiting #Russian communication disruptions, hitting overstretched positions, and scaling up drone-led counterattacks — a tactical shift that allowed #Kyiv to recapture territory quickly in key sectors.

#Coffee is getting harder to grow 🌍☕ Rising heat is threatening major coffee regions — and in #Ethiopia alone, ~4M farming households depend on coffee exports for their livelihoods. #Climatechange isn’t just about crops. It’s about millions of incomes.

#Drones are a sign. advantage for Abiy’s forces (surveillance & pressure). But they don’t solve the problem of multi-front overstretch — militias holding Oromia/ #Amhara, ENDF in the north & war w #Eritrea all at once still creates high strategic risk.

Large deployments by the #ENDF aimed at encircling #Tigray & cutting it off from support via #Eritrea. Meanwhile, the TDF are said to have mobilized over 100,000 troops along key front lines, with Welkait and Southern Tigray emerging as major focal points.

Reports say Abiy visited #Wollega, appealing to Oromo identity as tensions rise with the #Amhara Region and #Tigray. Critics argue he is playing the ethnic card despite serving as PM of all Ethiopia, while ENDF movements near the Eritrea border fuel fears of deeper conflict.

#Russian #drones in #Ukraine rely on European-made chips, sensors, and GPS modules. Even under sanctions, this tech lets Russia modernize its fleet and plays a tangible role in its military capabilities.

#Morocco is gaining diplomatic ground on Western Sahara, with growing international support for its autonomy plan under #Moroccan sovereignty. But the Polisario Front and Algeria still demand a referendum on independence. The dispute isn’t over — negotiations continue. 🌍#Maghreb

China is building #submarines at a pace the U.S. can’t match. While the #USNavy still holds a qualitative edge in stealth & experience, production speed & shipyard capacity are becoming strategic factors in the #IndoPacific balance. The trend line is what worries planners most

#Saudi interest in Turkey’s #KAAN fighter comes after #Ankara was removed from the F35 program over its S-400 purchase. US would prefer Riyadh buy U.S. jets — to keep influence over tech & to anchor Saudi ties to the U.S. — while still balancing Israel’s qualitative military edge

If 75% of #ENDF is mobilized north to invade #Tigray & #Eritrea incl heavy mechanized divisions, the cost isn’t just tanks & fuel — it’s billions in spending, economic collapse risk & long-term reconstruction in the tens of billions. Multi-front war is a fiscal & human catastrophe

Tensions in #Tigray escalate: Ethiopia’s #ENDF 🇪🇹 recalls personnel who left in the past 3 yrs & ramps up troop deployments. Abiy has frozen #TPLF leaders’ bank accounts. Southern Tigray & Afar will likely play a key role as clashes rise — war could ignite soon. ⚠️🪖

The EU sealed major trade deals with Mercosur and India, signaling real diversification beyond the U.S. Days later at the Munich Security Conference, Washington’s tone toward Brussels noticeably softened. Message received: Europe has options — and leverage. 🌍🇪🇺🇺🇸

#Moscow appears increasingly reliant on foreign manpower — from migrant labor keeping construction & industry afloat to foreign fighters bolstering the war. As casualties mount & demographics shrink, #Putin’s #Russia faces growing economic strain beneath headline resilience.

#Ethiopia today struggles to form true strategic partnerships. Most are transactional or “vassal-like” (e.g., UAE), where the foreign partner profits more. Internal conflicts limit its influence, despite its large population and GERD leverage. #Eritrea #Tigray

U.S. military planners are preparing for the possibility of a weeks-long operation in #Iran if ordered — but officials stress this is contingency, not a declared war. The #Pentagon already deployed a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East, increasing strike capacity. #Tehran

Can Ethiopia afford another war — against #Eritrea, renewed conflict in #Tigray, or even spillover with #Sudan’s army? With inflation high, debt restructuring ongoing & reconstruction unfinished, even backing from the UAE wouldn’t make a multi-front war economically sustainable

The #AfricanUnion looks toothless while Ethiopia openly seeks confrontation with #Eritrea, keeps #Tigray under unresolved pressure, and is accused of backing Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces — yet the AU responds with silence and summits.

🇸🇦 As tensions rise in the Horn, #Saudi is carefully balancing betw #Egypt & #Ethiopia — but if forced to choose, Riyadh’s strategic depth w Cairo runs far deeper. At the same time, it’s navigating friction w the #mUAE over alleged RSF support & an Ethiopia-linked base.

#SouthAfrica deployed the army to support police against organized crime & illegal mining, as Pres #Ramaphosa warns #crime threatens the economy. With ~60 murders a day and syndicates costing billions, investor confidence and SA’s global reputation are on the line. 🇿🇦

#Thailand’s #economy is losing momentum 📉 — growth has slowed (~1.5–2%), domestic demand is soft, household #debt high, manufacturing under pressure & tourism remains below pre-COVID levels as the Chinese have yet to return. It’s underperforming relative to many regional peers.

Pres #Afwerki met a #Saudi delegation led by Deputy FM Al-Khereiji & agreed to fast-track existing deals. Likely next steps: port feasibility studies ( #Assab /Massawa), maritime security coordination, energy & infra projects, fisheries & activation of joint economic committees. 🌍

Ethiopia’s backing of RSF looks like classic strategic overreach: GERD tensions w Egypt & Sudan, strained ties w Djibouti and #Eritrea & mounting internal pressures in #Amhara & #Tigray. Aligning w a force widely accused of genocide only deepens diplomatic & reputational costs

#DebreTabor reportedly falling to #Fano would be one of their largest urban gains yet, a major symbolic & logistical boost. For #ENDF, air strikes following withdrawals signal mounting difficulty holding territory in Amhara & a shift toward remote force rather than ground control

🇰🇪✈️ Kenya’s FM @MusaliaMudavadi is planning a trip to Moscow to confront Russia over reports that Kenyans are being lured with fake job offers and then pushed into fighting in Ukraine. Nairobi condemns the tactic and will seek answers and protections for its citizens. 🇷🇺🛡️

China is deepening ties with #Bangladesh through trade, infrastructure, and defence deals, raising concerns in #NewDelhi about shrinking influence. But #Dhaka isn’t choosing sides — it’s balancing India and China to serve its own interests in a shifting South Asian power game.

Vietnam’s #economy is booming - ~8% GDP growth in 2025, surging exports to the U.S., more FDI, and supply chains shifting from #China. They did it with export-led manufacturing growth + rising domestic demand. Growth may cool, but #Vietnam is now one of Asia’s standout engines.

If Reuters is right, #Ethiopia isn’t “neutral” in #Sudan anymore — it’s allegedly training #RSF fighters. That’s a paramilitary force accused of ethnic massacres. This isn’t diplomacy. It’s a gamble that could destabilize the entire Horn of Africa.

Reports from #Ethiopia indicate escalating tensions in the north: #Tigray facing restrictions on budget, food, and fuel, while large #ENDF reinforcements — including mechanized units — move north. At the same time, Fano activity is disrupting key roads. Risk of wider escalation is growing.

#Ethiopia always had the size, air power, & resources. #Eritrea’s leadership survived Haile Selassie, was key in defeating the Derg alongside the #TPLF, later helped defeat the TPLF militarily in Tigray & built a state from guerrilla war. What’s different now is 🇪🇹’s cohesion

🇨🇺#Cuba’s crisis deepening: long blackouts, fuel scarcity & rationing have hit daily life hard as 🇺🇸’s tightened #oil blockade cuts off lifelines. Gov warns airlines itll run out of fuel, so no refueling in #Havana or across major airports - a huge blow to tourism & connectivity

#Pakistan faces a tough balancing act: a fragile economy, rising attacks from Baloch separatists and the TTP, tense borders with Taliban-ruled #Afghanistan, and a nuclear standoff with India. Internal insurgency is now one of the country’s biggest security challenges. #Balochistan

#Ethiopia’s latest letter ironically accuses #Eritrea of aggression while also naming #Assab as a key issue for negotiation, knowing Eritreans don’t negotiate about their land. To some observers, it looks like Addis Ababa is building a narrative that could justify future action.

The U.S. Department of #Defense says it’s ending all military training, fellowships & certificate programs with #Harvard University starting in the 2026-27 academic year — calling the institution “woke” and saying it “no longer meets the needs of the War Department.” 🇺🇸📚#Hegseth

Ethiopia’s Abiy is being accused of enabling RSF - incl. potentially opening up territory for training & logistics — amid Sudan’s brutal civil war. #Addis’ ties w the UAE, historical border tensions over #AlFashaga & strategic concerns around Egypt & the #GERD complicate its role

Egypt trying to broker deeper security ties betw Saudi Arabia & #Eritrea to counter the UAE’s growing cooperation w Ethiopia & wants Riyadh to help underwrite a deal like Sudan’s rather than Cairo shouldering the costs. #Eritrean Pres #Afwerki is depicted as a skilled negotiator

Egypt has deployed Turkish-made drones to back SAF as fighting intensifies, with SAF regaining ground in #Kordofan. Reports/claims say Egypt & Saudi are trying to squeeze alleged UAE-linked #RSF supply lines via Libya, pushing RSF to rely more on Chad/S. Sudan/ #Ethiopia routes.

BREAKING: #Trump shared a video on #Truth Social that briefly shows Barack and Michelle #Obama ’s faces superimposed on monkeys/apes — an image widely condemned as racist and dehumanizing, drawing strong backlash from lawmakers and commentators. Critics call it offensive and demand condemnation.

🚨#Russian media report an assassination attempt on Lt. Gen. Vladimir #Alekseyev in #Moscow on Feb 6 2026. He was shot multiple times & hospitalized after an unknown gunman opened fire near his home. Authorities are investigating & searching for the suspect. Sources: TASS/Reuters