Join us as polls close at 8 PM in NJ-11 in the special general election to fill Gov. Mikie Sherrill’s former US House seat. Use the link below for live results! #newjersey #election

With the special #election in #Georgia wrapped up, we got to run our first test of our new Analytics features! Read more in this thread ⬇️

Join us as polls close in the #Georgia District 14 Special #Election at 7:00 PM Eastern. View live results here:

Iowa's Second Congressional District (IA-02): Toss-Up. Rep. Hinson won in 2024 by ~15.6%, and in 2022 by ~8.3%. As she leaves the seat to run for US Senate, do Democrats have a shot at flipping it? Visit www.cmelectionpredictions.com/house/distri... for the latest info. #iowa #politics #election

We project that Don Tracy has won the Republican Primary for US Senate in Illinois. #illinois #election

We project that Lt. Gov. Julianna Stratton has won the Democratic Primary for US Senate in Illinois. #illinois #election

Polls have now closed in the State of Illinois. Follow results here: #Illinois #election

Join us tonight as Illinois decides who will face off in the state's US Senate and Governor races in November, as well as all 17 US House races! Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern. #illinois #election

Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith has fended off a primary challenge and will head to the general election in November. #Mississippi #Election #Republicans

Democratic Rep. Bennie Thompson has fended off a primary challenge and will head to the general election in November. #Mississippi #Election #Democrats

CM Election Predictions projects that Democrat Shawn Harris and Republican Clay Fuller will advance to the Special Election Runoff scheduled for April 7.

Polls have now closed in the State of Mississippi. Follow results here: #Mississippi #election

Polls have closed in GA-14 and results are starting to come in. Check out the latest here: #georgia #election

Join us tonight as Mississippi decides who will face off in the state's US Senate race in November, as well as all four US House races! Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern. #Mississippi #election

Join us tonight for a Special Election in GA-14! The district was vacated by incumbent Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R). It features a large field of members of all parties. If no one receives a majority, the top two candidates advance to a runoff. Polls close at 7:00 PM Eastern. #georgia #election

With incumbent Rep. Tony Gonzales (R) dropping his re-election bid in #TX-23, we can project his main opponent, Brandon Herrera, will advance to the general election to face off against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. #texas #primary #election

Last night was the first true test of our Election Night infrastructure - and we're happy to say things seemed to work well! Still a few things to fix visually, but you should absolutely check it out! www.cmelectionpredictions.com/election-nig...

US House - TX-35: Toss-Up. This new district, redrawn in 2025, has no incumbent. The Model currently gives the Democrats a 50.2% chance of winning the seat. Check cmelectionpredictions.com/house/district/tx-35 for the latest.

US House - WA-03: Toss-Up. Rep. Gluesenkamp Perez won in 2024 by ~3.8%, and the Model gives Democrats a 57.3% chance of holding the seat. Check www.cmelectionpredictions.com/house/distri... for the latest. #election #uspolitics #washington #wapolitics

US House - WI-03: Toss-Up. Rep. Van Orden won in 2024 by ~2.7%, and the Model currently gives Democrats a 51.4% chance of flipping the seat. Visit cmelectionpredictions.com/house/district/wi-03 for the latest. #Election #USPolitics #wipolitics #wisconsin

The Forecast for January 20, 2026, is now live! Here's where things stand: Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 Majority: Lean R House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 Majority: Likely D Gubernatorial: Alaska (OPEN): Solid R -> Likely R Iowa (OPEN): Likely R -> Lean R

Today, January 20, Mikie Sherrill (D) was sworn in as Governor of New Jersey. What races are you watching next in NJ? Predictions here for 2026: cmelectionpredictions.com/state/new-jersey #njpolitics #uspolitics #newjersey

Yesterday, January 17, Abigail Spanberger (D) was sworn in as Governor of Virginia. She is the first woman to hold the office. What races are you watching next in VA? Predictions here for 2026: cmelectionpredictions.com/state/virginia

Nevada Governor: Toss-Up. Gov. Lombardo won in 2022 by ~1.5%, and the Model currently gives Republicans a 59.2% chance to hold the seat. It's still early - keep an eye on this one. Visit cmelectionpredictions.com/state/nevada for the latest. #Nevada #Election #politics

New Electoral Spotlight: New Jersey’s 2nd (NJ-02) Win Odds today: R 54.7% Click here for more: www.cmelectionpredictions.com/house/distri... #Elections #USPolitics #NewJersey

The Forecast for January 6, 2026, is now live! Here's where things stand: Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 Majority: Lean R (DOWNGRADE from Likely R) House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 Majority: Likely D Gubernatorial: Alaska (OPEN): Solid D -> Solid R Nevada (R-Lombardo): Lean R -> Toss-Up #elections

State pages are live on CM Election Predictions. See Senate, House districts, Governor, and state legislative control in one place - with ratings, win odds, and trend history. Try it: cmelectionpredictions.com/state #Elections #USPolitics

OPEN SEAT ALERT 🚨 AZ-01 is trending blue — currently Lean D, with Dems favored to flip. #election #ArizonaPolitics #USPolitics

The Forecast for December 30, 2025, is live. Here's where things stand: Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 Majority: Likely R House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 Majority: Likely D Gubernatorial: No rating shifts #Elections #USPolitics

Do you know how competitive your House district is? 👀 Use the District Finder on cmelectionpredictions.com to look it up by address or location. #USHouse #Elections #Election2026 #USPolitics

One of the biggest targets for Republicans in 2026: Maine's 2nd District. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Golden is retiring, and Republicans are favored. More: CMElectionPredictions.com #Election #Maine #USPolitics

The Forecast for December 23, 2025, is live. Here's where things stand: Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 Majority: Likely R House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 Majority: Likely D Gubernatorial: No rating shifts #Elections #USPolitics

Which party has the easier path to a majority today? This tool on cmelectionpredictions.com makes it obvious. 👀 #Election #USPolitics

Iowa's 3rd District in the US House is a coin flip. This could be one of the seats that makes or breaks the next House majority. #USHouse #Iowa #USPolitics

The Forecast for December 16, 2025, is live. Here's where things stand: Senate: D 49, R 50, Toss-Up 1 Majority: Likely R House: D 220, R 195, Toss-Up 20 Majority: Likely D Gubernatorial: No rating shifts #Elections #USPolitics

What do election ratings like Solid, Likely, Lean, and Toss-Up actually mean? This short explains how I use probability to rate races, and why Lean and Toss-Up seats matter most on election night. #Elections #USPolitics

Today's Electoral Spotlight shines on the election for #Governor of the State of #Georgia. This race is currently rated a #Toss-Up. (1/4)

The Forecast for December 9, 2025, is ready to read! Current Standings #Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R - change from Lean R) #House: D 222, R 195, Toss-Up 18 (Likely D) #Gubernatorial Shifts #Iowa (OPEN): Lean R -> Likely R

The #SupremeCourt has given the final nod of approval to the new #Texas Congressional map. Below is the updated estimated seat count for the #USHouse, along with updated odds for the House Majority. Visit www.cmelectionpredictions.com/house/ for a more in-depth view.

The Forecast for December 2, 2025, is ready to read! Current Standings #Senate: D 49, R49, Toss-Up 2 (Lean R) #House: D 226, R 192, Toss-Up 17 (Likely D) #Gubernatorial Shifts #Iowa (OPEN): Likely R -> Lean R

We can project Republican Matt Van Epps has won the special #Election in #TN-07. This is a Republican hold.

Today's Electoral Spotlight shines on North Carolina's 1st District in the #USHouse. This race is currently rated a #Toss-Up. (1/4)

Our new website has launched! This is iteration one, so there are still some bugs for us to work out - but please, check it out!

The #USSenate Predictions page for #Election2026 has been updated to include win probabilities for each party, and a new list of ALL races is located at the bottom of the page. This wraps up our updates for the night!

The #USGubernatorial Predictions page for #Election2026 has been updated to include win probabilities for each party, and a new list of ALL races has been added to the page. We will be rolling out similar updates to other pages soon!

The #USHouse Predictions page for #Election2026 has been updated to include win probabilities for each party, and a new list of ALL districts by state is located at the bottom of the page. We will be rolling out similar updates to other pages soon!

We're trying something new! Each week, we'll be highlighting interesting and important races for #Election2026. Today's Electoral Spotlight shines on Montana's 1st District in the #USHouse. This race is currently rated a #Toss-Up. (1/4)

The Forecast for November 18, 2025, is ready to read! Current Standings Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R) House: D 224, R 194, Toss-Up 17 (Likely D) Gubernatorial Shifts Michigan (OPEN): Likely D -> Lean D

The Forecast for November 11, 2025, is ready to read! Current Standings Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R) House: D 221, R 196, Toss-Up 18 (UPGRADE - Likely D) Gubernatorial Shifts Oklahoma (OPEN): Likely R -> Lean R (likely due to a lack of statewide polling)

The Forecast for November 5, 2025, is ready to read! Current Standings Senate: D 49, R 49, Toss-Up 2 (Likely R) House: D 218, R 197, Toss-Up 20 (Lean D) 2026 Gubernatorial ratings are also out now!