I see it's now fine for Conservative MPs to lie not just about the facts, but about their own party's stated policy. Most "foreigners" on benefits have entitlement via the EU Settlement Scheme and withdrawing those rights would breach the Withdrawal Agreement (and is not Conservative policy)

I ran an experiment, simultaneously posting articles on Bluesky and X, and then testing to see how many people actually clicked and read them. The numbers on Bluesky are higher, both because the X algorithm downranks journalism, and because Bluesky attracts readers, not just shitposters.

Trump on Ukraine's attack on russian airbases and russia’s attack on Ukrainian cities: “They gave Putin a reason to go and bomb the hell out of them… When I saw it, I said, here we go, now it’s going to be a strike…” (Russia has been bombing Ukraine nonstop for over 3 years.)

Later this month, #NATO is set to agree targets for higher #defence spending, by some future date. But Europe needs to rearm massively, right now. The threat from Putin is imminent, as is the risk that Trump abandons #Europe, or betrays it. 🧵 philippelegrain.substack.com/p/europe-nee...

Merz getting out of Washington with Trump too distracted to target Brussels, Berlin or Kyiv with stupid shit is a win for Germany

Elon Musk is going to end up getting deported.

The EU has an extensive sanctions regime against Russia - but it is constantly under threat of a veto from Hungary and Slovakia as it requires unanimity to be extended .In my latest piece I argue that the EU can overcome this by accusing Russia of economic coercion 1/n) www.cer.eu/insights/cas...

Yes, this was very powerful. This woman facing deportation after living 20 years in a Missouri town told me about cleaning an older man's house for free when his wife was sick. She spoke powerfully about her relationships with Trump voters. Now she's in jail and facing removal:

Poles seem to have forgotten that their country once disappeared from the map of Europe; that their national security depends on competent, responsible government, @sierakowski.bsky.social writes.

This is getting somewhat lost. The night before Ukraine's drone raid, Russia conducted what was the largest drone attack on Ukraine in the war to date—and, I guess, ever—with 472 Shahed-type attack drones. Broke last week's record by 100 drones. kyivindependent.com/russia-shatt...

Not the most reassuring message from Scott Bessent on the risks of a US default: “We are on the warning track and we will never hit the wall” on.ft.com/4ju6see

I wrote this about AI. We hear a lot about the importance of the "human touch" in the age of of machine intelligence. But the depressing truth is a lot of people just love AI slop. www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...

#Trump 's global impact in one chart

It's all so farcical. Nobody could seriously believe that there's some plan here which goes step 1: cancel all foreign student visas at Harvard, step 2: ?????, step 3: increase replication rates in biology. The lie is so transparent as to be insulting.

One issue is that the Eu is offering a first class top of the line FTA. No tariff barriers. But Trump is not interested in traditional FTAs. He wants discriminatory, sectoral deals and purchases. /1

Trump’s attack on Harvard won’t make America great again- a personal FT oped from @jasonfurman.bsky.social www.ft.com/content/da83...

The #EU should stay calm and ignore the blowhard's bullying. If #Trump wants to inflict pain on Americans by taxing those who buy EU products, let him suffer the consequences. He'll eventually back down #TradeWar

Tuesday's @thetimes.com cartoon times.newsprints.co.uk/morten-morla...

🚨 My book "In Our Interest: How Democracies Can Make Immigration Popular" is finally out today with @ColumbiaUP! 🚨 It tackles one of the biggest challenges today: How can we make freer human mobility between countries more politically sustainable? 🧵

What are migrant "dependants" doing? Last week's fascinating Home Office research has some answers - confirming that most are working (as @migobs.bsky.social & I have been pointing out for some time). [NB these are *minimum* estimates] www.gov.uk/government/p...

Not only has the idea of a Nordic bomb become a casual topic on Swedish morning radio, but now also a Danish ex-foreign minister calls for a Nordic defence union with own nuclear weapons - as strategic necessity.

"directly decreases GDP per capita" in the same way that Bill Gates walking into a bar directly increases the average income. This kind of elementary arithmetic fallacy should have no place in public life

When the Nazis and the Ku Klux Klan appear, what kind of person stands up to them? on.ft.com/4dhIyRL

"If Europe truly wants to be less reliant on US growth, it will have to produce it itself." Sharp read by Mario Draghi—with plenty of reasons to be bullish about Europe’s ability to shake off its current malaise! geopolitique.eu/en/2025/05/1...

An X USER, to Grok: “Why are you launching into conversations about white genocide, unprompted?” 🤡

While the UK sought to appease #Trump and China stood up to his bullying, both have struck trade deals with him in the past week. Three big lessons for the EU and others: 🧵 #tradewar #econsky philippelegrain.substack.com/p/china-best...

While the UK sought to appease #Trump and China stood up to his bullying, both have struck trade deals with him in the past week. Three big lessons for the EU and others: 🧵 #tradewar #econsky philippelegrain.substack.com/p/china-best...

#Trump blinks again #China #TradeWar www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

The UK was "shafted" by Trump with his 25% tariffs on cars, steel and aluminium, and extra 10% on everything else. Today's outline deal is a damage limitation exercise. It won't make Britain better off than before Trump's tariff hikes, but it undoes some of their harm. #trade #trump #econsky

🇪🇺 In a new @projectsyndicate.bsky.social article, our Visiting Senior Fellow @plegrain.bsky.social argues that the European Union has a unique chance to issue common EU bonds, effectively strengthening its economy, security, and autonomy. Read more👇 www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/e...

Visit Britain - It's like Spain but with electricity

"I'm going to govern in econometrics" is a winning campaign slogan for the ages.

As #Trump's destructive chaos leads global investors to desperately search for safe alternatives to US Treasury bonds and the #dollar, the EU has been given an unprecedented opportunity.🧵 #euro #eu #europe #safeassets #markets www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/e...

#Trump claims he has a winning hand in his escalating #tradewar with #China, because China exports much more to the US than vice versa. But that simplistic calculation is incorrect.🧵 #econsky philippelegrain.substack.com/p/why-trump-...

#Trump claims he has a winning hand in his escalating #tradewar with #China, because China exports much more to the US than vice versa. But that simplistic calculation is incorrect.🧵 #econsky philippelegrain.substack.com/p/why-trump-...

As #Trump's destructive chaos leads global investors to desperately search for safe alternatives to US Treasury bonds and the #dollar, the EU has been given an unprecedented opportunity.🧵 #euro #eu #europe #safeassets #markets www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/e...

How protectionism, not free trade, has wrecked America's car industry. Excellent as always @alanbeattie.bsky.social Trump’s auto tariffs build on a long destructive history - on.ft.com/4il7Gbh via @FT

Hurrah: #Trump has backtracked on the worst of his punitive #tariffs for now. But hold the champagne: the global #tradewar he has unleashed is far from over. 1. Many tariffs remain in place...🧵 philippelegrain.substack.com/p/bond-marke...

How should the world respond to Trump's declaration of #tradewar? Governments should remain calm, keep any retaliation targeted, not rush to negotiate with #Trump bilaterally, and try to coordinate their response with like-minded partners.🧵 philippelegrain.substack.com/p/how-should...

How should the world respond to Trump's declaration of #tradewar? Governments should remain calm, keep any retaliation targeted, not rush to negotiate with #Trump bilaterally, and try to coordinate their response with like-minded partners.🧵 philippelegrain.substack.com/p/how-should...

This is now the worst three-day performance for the S&P 500 since October 1987.

🤔

I debated the impact of Trump's tariffs on the US and global economy with Steve Okun and Trump apologist William Lee of the Milken Institute on @al-jazeera-english.bsky.social #InsideStory #tradewar #trump www.aljazeera.com/program/insi...

Traders betting the #Fed will cut rates 4 times this year to support weaker US economy likely to be disappointed. Trump's #tradewar is stagflationary: monetary policy can't help if inflation rises, due to initial tariff effects AND huge structural disruptions if sustained

Re-reading the Danish intelligence report from February 2025, which, I think, is the least conservative assessment of Russian reconstitution timelines & capability among all the published views from European intelligence services in the past year. www.fe-ddis.dk/globalassets...

“Europe holds a lot of cards” to respond to US coercion, von der Leyen told Parliament yesterday. Time to play Brussels Hold’em on Liberation Day. I mapped Europe’s hand in my latest: ecfr.eu/publication/...

First poll on the Le Pen trial 49% say they are satisfied, 29% unhappy, 29% indifferent 57% see it as a normal outcome, 42% say there was political motivation 68% think provisional application of a sentence is in principle justified www.bfmtv.com/politique/fr...