@georginaewright.bsky.social first remarks were aimed at voters, second set is for other member states and the Commission. IMHO

This is a fundamental argument in debates about "engaging" China again. Talk, yes. But walk from China, almost never , except with the US. Show me rewards other than talk. Great pieces by @kovrig.bsky.social and others at www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

Première émission de ma série d'été sur @[email protected] consacrée aux Accords internationaux. Aujourd'hui, à 11h00, l'accord d'armistice entre les deux Corées, signé en 1953. Et ses répercussions aujourd'hui. Avec @brunotertrais.bsky.social et @fgodement.bsky.social.

Un très lucide -et dévastateur - interview de Francis Fukuyama : parmi bcp de choses, cette prédiction sur Taïwan : quand et si Xi veut s'en saisir, Trump fera un deal avec lui et appellera cela un accord de paix - comme sur l'Ukraine www.lexpress.fr/idees-et-deb... www.lexpress.fr/idees-et-deb...

Making offers you can't refuse. To Greenlanders and now to Wisconsin citizens?

Although - as often with Donald Trump - different takes about this outcome are circulating, this seems likely as an opening volley to try and cow Europeans. Along with the chest thumping on Greenland. What a team...

Au moment où l'UE entame une semaine de diplomatie en Chine, cette proposition d'un reset sur les investissements chinois en Europe - un "Deng Xiaoping à l'envers": www.institutmontaigne.org/expressions/...

As the EU starts a diplomacy week in China, this proposal of a "reverse Deng" agreement for Chinese direct investment in Europe www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

👇 www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...

Big news on China/US trade if confirmed. All the more important to read this: institutmontaigne.org/en/expressions… @i_montaigneENwww.wsj.com/economy/trad...re

My take on turning China's tidal wave of exports to the EU into a workable investment deal. Many obstacles - the first being Beijing's win all mentality, but worth a try. @i_montaigneEN www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

It is so tempting now for Europe to try and get better terms (trade, investment, restraint on Russia) from China. The problem: no opening at all from Beijing beyond words. Here is why: There Cannot Be a US–EU–China Triangle | Institut Montaigne www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

www.institutmontaigne.org/expressions/... Devant les attaques de Trump, chercher des accords ou des compromis avec la Chine semble une bonne idée. Pas si simple. Derrière des mots soudain agréables, aucune concession chinoise à ce jour. Voici pourquoi:

indeed Taiwan should spend more. But Colby shows Ukraine is a prototype for the Trump admin. Add the pressure to transfer TSMC production to the US (Taiwan's "silicon security guarantee") and you have a global US security guarantee that looks like a used car dealership. 3/3

He now sets a condition that Taiwan spend 10 % of GDP (obviously on US weapons), says Taiwan is not "existential" to the US, puts more accent on preventing Iran from going nuclear 2/3

Elbridge Colby, at Senate confirmation hearing for DoD undersecretary post for policy, makes clear... the Trump admin ambiguity on Taiwan! He was known for giving up the defense of Europe to focus on containing China 1/3

Instant Chinese responses to Trump's tariffs are underwhelming although targeted- US agri exports means Trump voters, but only 15 %. Targeting specific firms - none of the giants so far since opening an enquiry into Nvidia. The RMB staying pat. And MoFA spokesman requesting talks.

It's almost hilarious to revisit this quote from Marco Rubio of only 41 days ago. It sounds like an echo from the past century x.com/ryanl_hass/s...

The analogies between the trio (Trump/Musk/Vance) and Mao's Cultural Revolution are catching like wildfire. French press has also taken notice of Philipe Roth's novel, The Plot Against America. Everybody looking for pointers and markers. asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Co...

RIP Ben Bradlee

Le courage tous azimuths de Zelensky, qui négocie jusque dans la gueule du tigre: www.wsj.com/world/zelens...

First coherent sign of an actual Trump policy on China. Based on wide derisking and protection of assets, questioning MFN and VIE proxies on capital markets, leaving room only for passive investment from China.Very based on 1977 IEEPA, as per Stephen Miran

My take on what amounts to a sabotage of transatlantic relations: www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

My take on the global disaster that is the Trump 2 presidency. Including but not limited to the sabotage of transatlantic relations. A time of lies and blackmail www.institutmontaigne.org/expressions/...

D'abord cibler les banques? Elles se servent des carottes fiscales pour spolier les épargnants à coup de placements maison et de frais cachés. Les épargnants français ne sont pas fous d'aller à l'immobilier et aux livrets A. Ils connaissent leur banquier... www.lefigaro.fr/conjoncture/...

Europe's only way out from the simultaneous threats that China, and now Donald Trump and Elon Musk's America have created for us. www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

Trump (et Musk) s'appuient sur le succès américain. L'Europe doit accélérer, renforcer et soutenir son exécutif, choisir parmi des objectifs trop nombreux. Après la Chine et la Russie, c'est le troisième réveil brutal de ce siècle.@i_montaigne www.institutmontaigne.org/expressions/...

Après le tweet de soutien de Musk à l'AfD je vais essayer de faire vivre ce compte Bluesky pour quitter X. Tous conseils sont bienvenus!

Hungary is becoming a major hub for Chinese investment in Europe. The quid pro quo: Orban’s government is emerging as a spoiler on measures to protect the EU market against unfair competition from China, for example by refusing to sign the wind charter last week apnews.com/article/chin...

Is there a critical mass of people here? 🤔 Please retweet this if you think I should start posting books here!

Time to repost two China papers where I insisted on the Japanese stagflation/debt trap lesson: June 2022: institutmontaigne.org/en/publicati... September 2023: institutmontaigne.org/en/publicati... Now the cover story of Caixin, in English and in Chinese: www.caixinglobal.com/2023-12-18/c...

EU member states should better fund, empower (and synch with their own tools) the common institutions that design and implement our responses: www.euractiv.com/section/eu-c...

Europe sandwiched? Whst's ahead after the Biden-Xi meeting www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

Quel impact sur l'Europe de la rencontre Xi-Biden et de la "pause" tactique qu'elle semble annoncer: un essai d'interprétation (soon in English also) www.institutmontaigne.org/expressions/...