I’ve turned on my OOO and taken my leave. Please don’t email me until late October.

Per YouGov (and @dropout.tv), Kamala Harris won the hotel toiletry thief demographic 45-43. Trump won 49-39 among Americans who never take unused toiletries from hotels open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...

Counting done for the day. Tomorrow the first distribution in Bass is the last National candidate. In Franklin we'll see the first distribution from a Liberal. We should also find out who of David O'Byrne and Dean Winter will reach quota first. #politas caseybriggs.substack.com/p/tracking-t...

I am updating this post with key updates on the Tasmania count caseybriggs.substack.com/p/tracking-t...

Here's a roundup of today's counting in Tasmania for the election-heads among us: caseybriggs.substack.com/p/tracking-t... #politas

ICYMI: A quick look at the state of play in Tasmania's count as we await the first preference counts this afternoon caseybriggs.substack.com/p/tasmania-h...

Preference distributions begin in Tasmania's election count tomorrow. Here's a quick rundown on how it will work: caseybriggs.substack.com/p/tasmania-h...

my toxic trait is that I arbitrarily switch between upper and lower camel case when naming objects based purely on aesthetics

late to this i know, but i love quarto and i wish to marry it

Info from scrutineers confirms that Peter George's preferences are behaving as expected, meaning that Labor will retain its 2nd seat in Franklin So latest is: Lib 14 ALP 10 Grn 5 Ind 4 2 seats remain in doubt: one in Lyons (SFF favoured) and one in Bass (more complex) #politas

Labor remains the most likely to win the final seat in Franklin (which would be their 10th seat) #politas

Counting of pre-poll votes today has continued to firm up David O'Byrne's position in Franklin. He has been re-elected. #politas

Final rehearsals at the tally room in Hobart. Full #tasvotes results coverage across the ABC tonight from 6pm. See you then xx

confirmed: Helen Garner has been attending the mushroom trial www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...

YouGov poll, Tas state election: Labor 34% Liberal 31% Greens 13% Others 22% Statewide totals and seat totals m both imply another hung parliament, with Labor favoured to be largest party #politas www.abc.net.au/news/2025-07...

There are 161 candidates in Tasmania, slightly down on last year, but there's been a big drop in the number of ballot columns across the state, and a big jump in the number of independent candidates. That'll make for simpler ballots for most voters... www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

the New York Times says we shouldn't tactical wee smdh www.nytimes.com/2025/06/03/w...

if you were thinking about throwing your hat in the ring for Tasmanian Parliament, you have just *two hours* remaining to find 10 nominators and get your nomination form to the returning officer

Tasmania's pre-election financial outlook (prepared by public servants) says state debt in 2028 will be 30% higher than forecasted in the Liberal state budget last month www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...

I can find nothing about the Greens 7th Lyons candidate except there is a speed cubing competitor by the same name. If anyone can confirm that the person who came 13th in the state speed cubing championship this year (3x3x3 cube) is now running for parliament, I would be grateful

Judge: "I infer that Mr Oliver-Taylor sought to mitigate the anticipated deluge of complaints [...] In that sense, the decision was made to appease pro-Israel lobbyists who would inevitably escalate the complaints about the ABC." www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...

Necessary reminder that literally every digital media expert in the country have been saying exactly this since this whole sorry ordeal started. None of this is a surprise.

"I don't think the ban is viable," said Lisa Given, professor of information sciences at RMIT University, who has closely analysed the government's social media age restriction policy. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...

The AI Slop Fight Between Iran and Israel www.404media.co/the-ai-slop-...

My ABC News guide to Tasmania's snap state election has been published. Homepage with links to all seats: www.abc.net.au/news/electio... Election preview: www.abc.net.au/news/electio... Seats overview: www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

The ACT Ombudsman says it has concerns about a procurement by the ACT Integrity Commission, after it awarded a $150,000 contract to its then-CEO, while he was still CEO. "There were no records in the Commission’s conflicts of interest register" www.ombudsman.act.gov.au/__data/asset...

Will Tasmanians endorse the Rockliff government, or will they, inspired by the season, opt for Winter? Or, will the state end up in much the same place it currently is? Here’s a first take from me on the #politas state of play as the campaign begins: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-06...

#breaking A Tasmanian state election will be held on July 19. Statement from the Governor:

Here's the full statement from Government House:

#breaking The Tasmanian Governor Barbara Baker is "taking the time necessary to give due consideration to all available options," says her official secretary. The Premier will meet with the Governor again "by the end of the week"

This is the error in Tasmania's supply bill that delayed passage and means the Premier is visiting the Governor after sunset. That "28,862" should've been "26,862", a $2 million typo #politas

you don't see husbands realizing they forgot their anniversary and searching for a gift and seeing the necklace their wife wanted in a window for $50 and pulling out an empty wallet and moths flying out and then seeing a poster that says "BOXING MATCH FIRST PRIZE $50" and saying "hmmm" much anymore

Jeremy Rockliff says Tasmanian Parliament will sit on Tuesday to pass supply. Once that is done he will go to the Governor and request an election. That means earliest possible date for a state election is Saturday July 19.

If Tasmania's Lt Governor dissolves the House of Assembly, the first possible date for an election is July 12

The final figures are in for Bradfield: Nicolette Boele wins by 26 votes

The Bradfield result means these are the final numbers in the House of Representatives: Labor 94 seats Coalition 43 Greens 1 Others 12

Nicolette Boele has won Bradfield. She currently leads the Liberals by 27 votes and there are only a very small number of votes left to adjudicate. A final margin of victory is expected this afternoon.

I've been playing with sankey charts to see how seats in the lower house have been changing over time. It's interesting to see the double defeat of the Coalition over two cycles and how big a mountain it is for them to return to power caseybriggs.substack.com/p/australias...

idk

A Judge Accepted AI Video Testimony From a Dead Man www.404media.co/email/0cb70e...

Labor took the glory in last weekend’s election but, once again, the major parties’ primary vote has fallen. Come see what's happened on The Triangle my latest for ABC News: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...

One more night with the maestro. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...

For the final part of Swingers we join the travelling circus, learn the dark arts of orchestrating a campaign, and ask: do campaigns even matter? Now on iview, 9pm on ABC TV: iview.abc.net.au/show/swinger...

🔺 This is pretty neat data storytelling from the ABC. Well done everyone. www.abc.net.au/news/...

This humble little triangle explains the big shift in how we vote over 50 years. My latest: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04...

Anyway, if you need a palette cleanser after the #LeadersDebate, go watch @caseybriggs.com excellent series 'Swingers' on the ABC or on iView. #AusPol #AusVotes iview.abc.net.au/show/swinger...

Swingers! On ABC TV, shortly! Or on ABC iview, now! iview.abc.net.au/show/swinger...

My "Fyre 2 is real" tshirt is raising a lot of questions already answered by the tshirt

some very kind words from one of the breakout stars of Swingers. Click the link or watch ABC TV at 9pm (that’s soon!)

campaign for my sham friends and champagne for my cam friends