Today's Rini intervals indicate it is difficult for the OMXS30 price to move well above the opening (+.27%) but also below -.14%. Yet, this is what is happening so far! Indices turned green so our bearish signal might be wrong... Let's see.

The US 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4%. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

After three years of reasoning, pleading and conceding, the EU has had enough. On Monday, the bloc’s 27 member countries are expected to back a new bill that will permanently cut Russian gas supplies to Hungary and Slovakia — whether they like it or not.

The Rini prediction success for September was 82%. During days without a shock it was 94%. During days with a shock it was 50%. The percent of shock days was only 27%. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

This is an example of how to use the daily Rini signals to trade for more than one day: Monitor if the price/quote repeatedly closes above/below the Rini average and at Rini #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

What does the absolute Rini min tell us? That OMXS30 should start reversing if it falls below that min, e.g. another .20% down. Of course, if the shock stabilizes - need to monitor. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

The AI bubble is a bigger global economic threat than Trump’s tariffs on.ft.com/47iPYSu | opinion

French PM Sébastien Lecornu can breathe a sigh of relief for now after a no-confidence motion against his government failed to pass today.

On Friday the Rini baseline signal was correct, a bear, because of the negative shock (otherwise OMXS30 was going up). On Monday the Rini baseline signal was correct, a bear, because #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

Silver prices surged to new highs on Monday, driven by gold’s historic rally and a massive liquidity squeeze in the London market.

Good. www.reuters.com/world/china/...

Cryptocurrencies tumbled after US President Trump said he would impose an additional 100% tariff on China and export controls on software, with more than $3 billion in positions liquidated within the past hour

Wall Street sells off as Trump hits China with more tariffs reut.rs/4oivLD9

The fallout from the implosion of First Brands keeps spreading. Morgan Stanley’s asset-management business asked to redeem some money it invested in a Jefferies fund with large exposure to the bankrupt auto parts supplier’s trade debt. Here’s your Evening Briefing

Unanticipated negative shock in all stock markets from Potus' statement on China. #investing #stocks #stockmarket #gold #silver #economy #tariffs #data

Happy to announce, though, we discovered a specification that can predict new all time highs, e.g. 02.02.2025 and the current OMXS30 ATH on 26.02.2025 without the help of backtesting. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

A third failure. Thus, we cannot improve the M3 condition at the moment. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

The rally in precious metals is very telling about the workings of the economy - real and monetary. Therefore, we need to monitor it. #gold #silver

It fell after a new high along with gold yesterday. Today, though, it is again above 50 USD unlike gold which remains below 4000 USD. It will take time for market participants to get convinced the price of silver will not collapse as in the past. This is why miners do not follow imho.

We told you so. Spot silver touched 50 USD. #silver

The new French PM resigned. Example of negative external shock that affects OMXS30. Sharp decline at about 09:30 - look a a graph. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

We told you so. Bitcoin is trading close to 120,000 USD while Ethereum close to 4500 USD. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Touched 48 USD and retreated to 46 yesterday. Our view on silver does not change. The price of 50 USD will fall eventually. #silver

For the second day in a row OMXS30 finishes close to its intraday high and at or above the Rini absolute max. This usually means reversal in the absence of a shock.

The US government has shut down. We do not know the implications of that but we remain vigilant. Perhaps we activate the shock variable to check how robust the Rini signal is. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

The only opinion Rini Metrics has of bitcoin (and ethereum, etc.) is that the top is not in yet. We do not give investment advice here. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

Please notice the prices of gold and silver. We reiterate that there is a generalized distrust in fiat. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

Does not improve prediction success - on the contrary. We will backtest one more specification today. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

US personal income and outlays out today at 14:30. Eyes on inflation - might create a shock. Friday 26.09.25. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

Touched 45 USD. #silver

When we do not post it is because we posted too many predictions before, we trade (e.g. we started trading Nasdaq), or because we work on the econometric model. Discovered a variable for #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

RB indeed cut rates and signalled no more. Our confusion here stems from the fact that in the last RB rate decicion we understood market participants expect a cut in September but #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

Passed 44! #silver

Unfortunately, the Rini was twice wrong last week. Particular situation with the Fed's rate decision, RB's rate decision tomorrow and the so-called Triple Witching last Friday. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading

Spot silver is approaching 44 as we speak. Look at the performance of gold/silver miners, especially the junior ones. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Bitcoin and crypto prices are down today. We are holding. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Novo Nordisk 5%+ today!!! #stocks #health #investing #trading #data #econometrics #economy #finance

Thus, the Rini made the right prediction for Monday 15.09.25. Correct! We do not know atm whether the zig-zag pattern, which the Rini did not predict, is due to a shock/event (here the #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

We do not plan to sell/trim before spot silver reaches 50 USD. This, of course, is not investment advice. Just an opinion. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Bitcoin has recovered as we predicted. Now trades at 115,000+ USD. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Silver is galloping now. Spot silver broke 42 USD. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Correct. Closing price close to the Rini average. Types I and III were bearish but type II was 50%. Since we are still updating the code, we have not backtested the newer models yet. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

Updated the Rini performance for the last months. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

Gold is galloping, friends. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Spot Gold touched 3600 USD. #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum

Unbelievable

Possibly what is happening today. OMXS30 above +1% already. Compare with the rest of Europe which is sitting mostly flat so far. 10:13:11 5 Sep 2025 #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

As expected. #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

Swedish CPI flash estimate out tomorrow morning. US jobs report on Friday. Possible shocks for the Rini. 03.09.2025 #data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading

Posted this back in December 2024. Kept adding in 2025. Gold and bitcoin have reached multiple new ATHs. Silver broke 40 USD. Imho, all three have more to give by the end of the year. #gold #silver #bitcoin #data #investing #trading