Still relevant: my interview in the Atlantic from Election Eve 2020, about epistemic humility, what probabilities really mean, and how not to freak out. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...

Philosophers of probability, your moment has arrived

Somebody took the Harris for President sign off our lawn last night, but the joke is on them, the sign voted early

It's corny I know but I do enjoy Maya Rudolph as Simulacramala.

I actually picked up my landline and answered a poll the other day, so when you read that Harris is winning a stunning 100% of white men age 45-55 in Wisconsin, that's me

Just thinking about actors whose names are close to old-timey adverbs. Charlize Thereon. Reese Whitherspoon. Chris Henceforth.

Students in the UW system make up almost 3% of Wisconsin's population. www.wmtv15news.com/2024/10/29/e...

Really nice new paper by Canning, Larsen, Payne, and Willwacher which shows how far we've come in understanding unstable cohomology of M_g arxiv.org/abs/2410.19913

You too, Politico? No. No! The districts you are talking about are not rural just because they are not in Madison or Milwaukee! www.politico.com/news/2024/10...

Interview with my mom! cancerhistoryproject.com/article/susa...

I used to have a car like that

Syllabus for Michael Harris's course on mathematics and the humanities: www.math.columbia.edu/~harris/webs...

Bad headline writing from the Chicago Tribune! The amendment would remove the constitutional guarantee of the right to vote that US citizens in Wisconsin currently enjoy. www.chicagotribune.com/2024/10/19/w...

Somebody stole the pumpkin off our porch. Who does that??

That’s that’s me gazpacho

Fewer, actually.

This is cool from Kollar and Villalobos-Paz -- tons of affine cubic surfaces with infinite discrete automorphism group, didn't realize you could do this arxiv.org/abs/2410.03934

Wisconsin! You can vote in-person starting TODAY! Get your vote in now and keep lines short on November 5. Put your address in myvote and it'll show you where and when you can vote. myvote.wi.gov/en-us/Vote-A...

I'm only following the NFL sporadically this year, but what problem is the new onside kick rule trying to solve?

David Foster Wallace's cruise ship and state fair essays are wonderful, rich, and fully human pieces of work, but on the whole the current state of magazine writing would probably be better if they'd never been published.

I just want to encourage you all to knock on doors encouraging people to vote and letting them know how they can vote early. You get a nice walk and a lot of friendly conversation.

The phrase "Cams and euphrasia fill the Earth" was troubling me in a dream last night. I don't know what it means.

Dead Milkmen fans everywhere shed a tear. www.thedrive.com/news/thats-a...

I don't know why I have to keep telling the New York Times this but Baraboo is not rural!! It's a city! A small city! www.nytimes.com/2024/10/14/u...

Man, New York Times recipe readers really just see the word "sheet pan" and smash like.

Hey Milwaukee! I'm talking random walks and AI at UWM at 4pm today: uwm.edu/letters-scie...

I'll be live on the always entertaining In Lieu of Fun in a couple of hours, talking -- I'm not sure? Superstorms? AI? Your guess. www.youtube.com/live/OVE-SDm...

"At common law neither spouse could maintain a court action against the other. This rule was based on the doctrine that the husband and the wife were one legal person, and that person was the husband."

Really interesting post by Terry Tao about a large collaborative computing-aided effort to understand and formaly prove all implications and anti-implications between basic algebraic laws terrytao.wordpress.com/2024/10/12/t...

I think each NLDS team has exactly one ex-Oriole on the playoff roster, so you can pick your rooting interests by how you rate Jose Iglesias, Austin Hays, Jack Flaherty, and Manny Machado.

A lot of reports of visible aurora in the US right now! If you're someplace dark, go outside and have a look! (I can't see it from my house in Madison.)

Badger gameday!

OK, sure, but whose space laser downed the power line? www.npr.org/2024/10/03/n...

People keep saying AI alignment is hard, but I think humans will actually be quite good at modifying our values to align with whatever AI turns out to offer.

The Brewers pulled a starter who was cruising -- admittedly that starter came in to pitch the 8th, and admittedly they were never not going to bring in their star closer in a save situation, but still -- *sigh*

The Mets just found out why even in a must-win game you don't pull your starter when he's cruising.

Narrator: it didn't go extras.

Happy Deligne's birthday to all who celebrate!

I don't see how you pull Eflin, who's cruising, after 4. We've still gotta win tomorrow and this could go extras.

And now for the last Orioles win of 5784!

Shana tova, everybody.

I, a Real American, have eaten 19 out of 20 of these. But I have never even heard of banana pudding. www.cnn.com/travel/ameri...

I know it's been 8 years but I think the Orioles should have Zach Britton throw out the first pitch today

Not to pour cold water on a great game but if the Braves had won wouldn't they have their scrubs in and the Mets would be cruising to a playoff-clinching win in the second game right now?

I'm teaching Janet Malcolm's "Forty-one False Starts" today. Damn do I love this. Every time I read it I notice new things. The master of our time.

HISTORY MADE. The Baltimore Orioles grounded into 71 double plays in 2024, the lowest full-season team total in the history of baseball!

It's back, the Rural Juror of AL playoff matchups

It is literally a constituency that nobody this century except Obama 2008 could have won the US Presidency without.

But also every state should have same-day registration like Wisconsin, just in case.