Can humans build defenses that could constrain even a future superintelligent AI? Our new @rand.org paper argues yes—by leveraging fundamental scientific limits and proven security engineering principles. 👉 www.rand.org/pubs/perspec... (1/3)

RAND's Chad Heitzenrater outlines why advanced AI might fundamentally reshape the economics of cybersecurity. ⬇️ https://bit.ly/4ni8ksU

Happy to share a new report just published from @rand.org called "On the Extinction Risk from Artificial Intelligence." We tried to take a serious, rigorous look at whether human extinction from AI was possible. www.rand.org/pubs/researc...

AI needs power, and lots of it. The new RAND article argues that keeping advanced industries in the U.S. requires more than innovation, it needs strategic infrastructure. More on: www.rand.org/pubs/article... Full study done by RAND and RAND Europe: www.rand.org/pubs/externa... #AI #U.S. #Energy

Leading AI labs are in hot pursuit of AGI, which would produce human-level—or even superhuman-level—intelligence across many cognitive tasks. RAND experts highlight 5 hard national security problems such a development could present: www.rand.org/pubs/perspec...

In light of OpenAI’s new o3 model, @petersalib.bsky.social writes that "rogue AI is a concern worth taking seriously—and taking seriously now. This is a problem for which, by its very nature, solutions cannot wait until there is conclusive proof of their need."

Poorly predict the future.

Throughout 2024, RAND has been helping leaders better understand and address humanity's greatest challenges. RAND president and CEO Jason Matheny reflects on some of the major policy stories of the year—and where we intend to build in 2025. 🧵 www.rand.org/pubs/comment...

Supervolcanoes. Nuclear war. Asteroids colliding with the earth. New RAND research provides an overview of global catastrophic risk: www.rand.org/pubs/researc...

Free to read. Easy to navigate. Accessible for all. Welcome to the new rand.org. ⤵️ www.rand.org/pubs/article...

Starter packs are genius, but I was surprised there wasn't a list of them for people to find. So I built it: blueskydirectory.com/starter-pack... The website monitors the packs being shared and adds the ones it finds to the database. Missed your stater pack? Message me and I'll get it added.

I didn't get a bunch of new followers, but I'm going to let you all what I do anyway. 👋 I research national security implications of emerging technologies (e.g., quantum computing, 5G, AI) for RAND, a nonprofit, non-partisan research institution. Looking to follow others with similar interests!

Introduce yourself either some jobs you have done apart from what you do now. 1. Car washer. 2. Lifeguard. 3. Drill press operator. 4. Golf course greensperson. 5. Tutor. 6. Chemist.

Is AI like nuclear technology? The Internet? Cryptography? Genetic engineering? Should we govern AI like we governed any of these technologies? In my latest @rand.org report I explore each of these examples and how the lessons learned can be applied to AI governance! www.rand.org/pubs/researc...

I had the privilege to review this excellent paper, and I highly recommend it for folks interested in AI and cybersecurity!

have a joke about Sisyphus, but I retell it every day without ever getting to the punchline.

Exciting breakthough in quantum computers, specifically quantum error correction. That would likely be the most powerful quantum computer to date. 4 reliable logical qubits from 30 physical qubits. Low error rate. Works on ion-trap architecture! s7d9.scene7.com/is/content/q...

Periodic Table Regions xkcd.com/2913

Great summary of a great event that I was privileged to attend and speak to. It's a short, free read, so I recommend it if you're interested in the governance and security of foundation AI models. www.rand.org/pubs/conf_pr...

Was just writing up a review and Word suggested I follow the phrase "--> Conclusion" with "-iℏt" First, I'm flattered it thought I was writing about quantum mechanics, but also - no. It has been a long time since I had to use the reduced Planck's constant.

Made a heart-shaped pizza for my family for Valentine's Day, and it was delightful!

The only correct answer to this question is some version of "Insufficient information to determine conclusively"

I managed to write 2 full pages of a research paper this morning WHILE a technician was at my house installing something. Please clap.

Everyone seems to like the bandwagon fallacy, so that's probably the one we should choose.

"If you avoid existential risk by creating tech thoughtfully, you avoid regulations that limit the usefulness of the tech." Going into the new year looking forward to thinking about AI governance, and I really appreciate this post from @mmasnick.bsky.social www.techdirt.com/2023/12/29/n...

Great, short piece from my @rand.org colleagues calling for more actionable, policy-oriented frameworks for thinking about AI. www.rand.org/pubs/comment...

Fairly chuffed about this one. Understanding the systemic risk posed by specific entities managing the nation’s critical infrastructure. www.rand.org/pubs/researc...