(Un)popular opinion: Stripe withdraws its offer for #$PYPL and share price falls by 25% within the next month.

Stripe and Advent International have reportedly made a joint offer to acquire PayPal ( #$PYPL) for $60.50/share (a ~28% premium). The Details: - Equal 50/50 ownership stake between Stripe and Advent. - Backed by ~$50B in committed bank financing. - #$PYPL shares surged ~15% overnight.

If a business generates exceptional margins competitors will inevitably enter the market, undercut pricing and compress those margins ⬇️. Unless they have a Moat! We shared an article breaking down the 4 pillars of a durable competitive advantage featuring #$ADSK, #$ASML & the collapse of BlackBerry.

Evolution AB ( #$EVO) is currently a 6% position for us at StockOpine. Why are we comfortable holding? 1️⃣ An expanding competitive moat. 2️⃣ A massive, multi-decade runway as land-based casinos digitize. 3️⃣ Highly opportunistic capital allocation. We just updated our DCF model. 👇

Interesting move by Greggs with its first international expansion in Tenerife South Airport. The location makes a lot of sense given the huge UK passenger traffic and could unlock a new growth avenue for the brand.

#$BKNG on share repurchases "Since 2014, we have reduced our share count by over 40% even after accounting for the dilutive impact of stock-based compensation by opportunistically investing in this long-term vision through our share buyback program.

As the industry struggles with supply limitations that are expected to persist well beyond 2026, ASML’s intend to double its EUV output underscores its vital role in the next decade of semiconductor evolution. #$ASML Earnings review is out 👇

#$GOOG is said to raise prices for YouTube Premium in US (hiking US individual monthly plans by 14% to $15.99).  With 125M+ subs and a $20B+ estimated run-rate, this new revenue flows almost entirely to the bottom line.

Keep an eye on pool chemicals. We're starting to see prices climb again on the back of rising oil. This is a notable shift for #$POOL, signaling that the deflationary headwinds they've been battling might finally be coming to an end.

Earnings growth supports stock price growth in the AI era. But do factors like extending the useful lives of tangible assets, aggressively capitalising costs rather than expensing them, and share buybacks also play a role?

AMZN “I've been thinking for the last number ‌of years that AWS, call it 10 years from now, could be about a $300 billion annual revenue, run rate business,” Jassy said, according to a review of his comments by Reuters.“I think what's happening in AI that AWS has a chance to be at least double that.”

Not what $LULU used to be.

I would never imagined seeing $ADBE trade at a near 10% FCF yield while growing 10% YoY. The effect of disruption risk has been absolutely brutal on Adobe's valuation multiple.

Thesis still intact. Long $GRG.L

Vistra $VST just signed 20-year PPAs to supply ~2.6 GW of nuclear power to $META. • 2.6 GW can support roughly 15–25 large AI-scale data centers • Or ~1.5–2 million high-end GPUs running continuously • Enough baseload power for multiple hyperscale campuses across Ohio & Pennsylvania

After diving deep into $GRAB , the most fascinating takeaway wasn't their tech but their hyper-localisation strategy. For 5 years, they fought a brutal war with Uber in Southeast Asia. On paper, Uber should have won (more cash, better app).

We live in an era of zero-commission trading and 24/7 financial noise. Every red notification on your phone screams at you to "DO SOMETHING!" The urge to trim, add, and react to daily volatility is immense But hyper-activity is often the enemy of compounding Think of your highest-conviction stock.

Definitely risky for $ASML “Completed in early 2025 and now undergoing testing, the prototype fills nearly an entire factory floor. It was built by a team of former engineers from Dutch semiconductor giant ASML who reverse-engineered the company's extreme ultraviolet lithography machines or EUVs”

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🔥 5 hours of ideas and discussion done! ⚡ Another 5 coming up today! 💾 Missed yesterday? Everything’s recorded 💡 Don’t miss detailed discussions on stock ideas 📈 Ideas ranged from deep value to growth. 🤝 Buzzing networking room 🎟️ Join us today: fatalphavalue.com/online

Time is your greatest asset!!

Added to $GRG.L at the end of Sept. and yesterday's move adds some fuel to the idea that the market was underpricing its growth. Davy just launched coverage: outperform & a £17.30 target. Our thesis is intact: steady store expansion, value proposition, and a model that keeps pulling customers back

The data center GPU and CPU market is now worth ~$200B. The dominace is staggering: $NVDA: ~85% share $AMD: 7.5% share $INTC: 7.5% share $AMD overtook $INTC and targets a double-digit share next. Can they pull it off against $NVDA ?

Grateful for the kind words and excited to be presenting at the upcoming FatAlpha Online Conference. Thank you to Sophocles for the invitation and for continuously creating a space where thoughtful investment ideas are shared and challenged. Looking forward to contributing my stock pitch.

$AMD Server CPU Market Share over time

While SASE ARR growth slowed, $FTNT ‘s FortiSASE billings jumped 100%+, easing concerns. Enterprise SASE adoption rose to 15% (from 13% last qtr) showing both strong execution and plenty of runway ahead. Full earnings review 👇. #FTNT #Earnings #Cybersecurity #SASE

We don't recall another YoY decline in the number of payment transactions for $PYPL...🤔

Has Luxury Finally Hit Bottom? 👀 Get into our latest earnings review of LVMH. $MC.PA $EL $CFR.SW $KER.PA

Carrier’s $CARR transformation is paying off: 250% YTD growth in data center orders and record commercial HVAC backlog.

Canva was recently valued at $49 billion, with $2.5 billion in annualized revenue, giving it a valuation multiple of 19.6x. In comparison, Adobe $ADBE, with a market cap of $192.5 billion and FY24 revenue of $21.51 billion, trades at a multiple of ~9x, making it relatively less expensive.

Adobe shares fell 13% after reporting earnings yesterday. Weaker outlook weighed on sentiment. Key highlights for the quarter: - Revenue: $5.61B (up 11.1% YoY) Vs $5.54B expected - Non-GAAP EPS: $4.81 up 12.6% YoY) Vs $4.67 expected

Investors often fear Google could follow the path of Yahoo or IBM, overlooking its technological edge and vast resources. The launch of Willow, its new quantum chip, demonstrates Google’s commitment to staying ahead of competitors. Can they succeed? With Waymo's progress as proof, why not? $GOOGL

🚀 Future free cash flow drives a firm’s value. Here’s a chart (@KoyfinCharts ) of S&P 500 companies with positive FCF margins & NTM EV/EBITDA < 30. A few standouts: $AMP, $MO, $CPAY, $GEN. 💡 Which ones catch your eye? Let’s discuss!

Zoom $ZM Quotes from Q3 earnings call 👇 “Zoom AI Companion monthly active users growing 59% quarter-over-quarter.” “And the number of Zoom Contact Center customers surpassed 1,250, up more than 82% year-over-year.” “A number of Workvivo customers grew 72% year-over-year”

During Covid, the pool industry thrived as stay-at-home lifestyles + low rates fueled pool usage, renovations, & new builds Now, higher rates 📈 + return-to-office 🏢 = tough comps for $POOL & $LESL Still, the pool industry remains resilient. Clean pools + a growing installed base = long-term demand

Carrier sold its Commercial & Residential Fire business for $3B (12-14x EV/EBITDA), with $2.2B net proceeds to be used for an accelerated share repurchase program rather than debt reduction. Is this the best use of capital? - $CARR trades at 16x EV/EBITDA NTM, above its historical average of 14x.

Estée Lauder's $EL challenges in China and travel retail have reshaped its sales mix, but market share gains in prestige beauty and strong growth in Japan signal brighter days ahead. Is $EL on the verge of a turnaround? 📈 Read our full analysis here 👇 www.stockopine.com/p/estee-laud...

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