Brendan Tuma
@toomuchtuma.bsky.social
📤 1071
📥 158
📝 111
Head of MLB Info at Underdog; words for Baseball America.
Notable SP who didn't pitch in 2025. Anyone missing? Gerrit Cole Grayson Rodriguez Jared Jones Shane McClanahan Joe Musgrove Kutter Crawford Reynaldo LĂłpez Gavin Stone River Ryan Braxton Garrett DJ Herz Christian Scott Patrick Sandoval John Means Cody Bradford Jordan Montgomery Luis Medina
1 day ago
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Devin Williams had a 55% strand rate last season. Lowest by a qualified RP since 2022. 10th-lowest in a full season since 2000!
1 day ago
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The only 2025 pitches with a worse run value than Ryan Helsley’s four-seamer were all thrown by Colorado Rockies arms.
4 days ago
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Free Agency Relief Pitcher Preview Really happy with how it turned out!
brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-fre...
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2025–26 Free Agent Preview: Relief Pitchers
Thoughts on This Year’s Class of Potential Closers
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-free-agent-preview-relief
8 days ago
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Taylor Ward is a funny profile. He became more patient than ever… and ended up with the 2nd-highest called-strike rate in the league. Average whiffs, great chase rate… still a 26.4 K%.
14 days ago
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@michaelrosen.bsky.social
hey Michael, we chatted briefly earlier this year. Was wondering how I could best contact you with some follow-up questions?
15 days ago
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Free agent SPs... * Cease’s command roller coaster * Framber’s late-season unraveling * Ranger’s kitchen-sink approach * King’s April peak + injury wipeout * Woodruff reinventing himself * Imanaga’s WHIP magic? * Gallen’s K% dip Fantasy-first look is live!
brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-fre...
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2025–26 Free Agent Preview: Starting Pitchers
Fantasy-First Thoughts on This Year’s Class of Arms
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-free-agent-preview-starting
16 days ago
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Free agency Substack posts: Hitters âś… Starters âś… Trying to get relievers done before the signings start rolling in All fantasy-first writeups, so we have a baseline before landing spots sway the value!
brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-fre...
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2025–26 Free Agent Preview: Starting Pitchers
Fantasy-First Thoughts on This Year’s Class of Arms
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-free-agent-preview-starting
17 days ago
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I took a fantasy-first approach to writing about the top 10 hitters from this year's FA class:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-fre...
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2025–26 Free Agent Preview: Hitters
Fantasy-First Thoughts on This Year’s Class of Bats
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/202526-free-agent-preview-hitters
28 days ago
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I wrote about the psychology of decision-making And why sticking to your plan is harder than it sounds.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-analys...
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The Analyst’s Dilemma (and Edge)
The Psychology of Sticking to Your Plan
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-analysts-dilemma-and-edge
about 1 month ago
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5 of the 10 lowest league-wide batting averages ever have come since 2020. Home runs and steals are near all-time highs, but AVG remains near the floor. More on the hitting environment driving modern fantasy baseball:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is...
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No Stat Is Free: What MLB's New Normal Reveals About 2026 Draft Strategy
Back in June, I wrote about developing a year-round mind for fantasy baseball.
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is-free-what-mlbs-new-normal
about 2 months ago
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The juiced ball. Sticky stuff. Rule changes. MLB has finally settled into a new era And for fantasy baseball, that means one thing: We finally have a macro edge again. Live now - my favorite piece of the year
brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is...
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No Stat Is Free: What MLB's New Normal Reveals About 2026 Draft Strategy
Back in June, I wrote about developing a year-round mind for fantasy baseball.
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/no-stat-is-free-what-mlbs-new-normal
about 2 months ago
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I’ve been obsessed with the macro fantasy landscape ever since the juiced ball era. This week, I found more clarity than ever before. Live tomorrow:
about 2 months ago
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Building on last week's housing article I wrote about why everything scarce -- not just home prices -- has become so expensive, so fast. What I'm calling the Great Repricing:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-great-...
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The Great Repricing
Why Everything Scarce Got So Expensive, So Fast
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-great-repricing
3 months ago
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I wrote from the perspective of a hopeful first-time homebuyer in the 2020s. It’s not just about housing. It’s about understanding the rules of the financial game. The house always wins...but awareness is its own kind of edge.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-house-...
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The House Always Wins
What trying to buy a home taught me about the system behind money and markets
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-house-always-wins
3 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Why Backyard Baseball is still the greatest sports video game of all time:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-magic-...
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The Magic of Backyard Baseball
The best sports video game still holds up almost 30 years later
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-magic-of-backyard-baseball
4 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
3 months ago
As tick populations explode, tickborne diseases are becoming more and more common. To address this threat, novel solutions are clearly needed. Could wildfire management help to address this menace? I believe it could! See:
doi.org/10.1093/bios...
#ticks
#lymedisease
#alphagal
#ehrlichiosis
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https://doi.org/10.1093/bios..
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
3 months ago
Join me as I go "back to my roots"* (plant pun intended) and discuss the wonderful world of liverworts that exist in New England. *note: botanically speaking, liverworts don't have true roots. Interested in more facts like that? Make sure to register!
www.nativeplanttrust.org/events/an-in...
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Why Backyard Baseball is still the greatest sports video game of all time:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-magic-...
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The Magic of Backyard Baseball
The best sports video game still holds up almost 30 years later
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/the-magic-of-backyard-baseball
4 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
The Magic of Backyard Baseball Live tomrorrow. Subscribe (for free) here:
brendantuma.substack.com
4 months ago
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The Magic of Backyard Baseball Live tomrorrow. Subscribe (for free) here:
brendantuma.substack.com
4 months ago
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Most fantasy coverage focuses on breakout rookies and busted early-round picks. But leagues are often won on the margins, with midseason shifts and quiet breakouts. Tuma's Take: Milwaukee Brewers
brendantuma.substack.com/p/tumas-take...
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Tuma's Take: Milwaukee Brewers
Andrew Vaughn, Isaac Collins fuel baseball's first 70-win team
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/tumas-take-milwaukee-brewers
4 months ago
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I returned from my honeymoon and immediately wrote about the Colorado Rockies. Plus some updates on the future direction of the newsletter.
substack.com/home/post/p-...
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Tuma's Take: Colorado Rockies
With a few notes on what’s next for the newsletter
https://substack.com/home/post/p-169984106
4 months ago
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I never once considered Eugenio Suárez in offseason drafts. Now he might be having the best season of his career.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
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Backyard Scouting: Arizona Diamondbacks
A Skills-First Review of the Diamondbacks’ Lineup
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-scouting-arizona-diamondbacks
5 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
I wrote about what it’s like to chase a niche career path without a clear roadmap. No blueprint. Just midnight alarms, a podcast I had no idea how to produce, and the stubborn belief it might lead somewhere.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-of...
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Leading Off: Midnight Alarms and My First Shot in Fantasy Sports
The summer I nearly burned out trying to break in
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-off-midnight-alarms-and-my
5 months ago
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I wrote about what it’s like to chase a niche career path without a clear roadmap. No blueprint. Just midnight alarms, a podcast I had no idea how to produce, and the stubborn belief it might lead somewhere.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-of...
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Leading Off: Midnight Alarms and My First Shot in Fantasy Sports
The summer I nearly burned out trying to break in
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/leading-off-midnight-alarms-and-my
5 months ago
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Baseball’s hardest throwers in 2025 aren’t just throwing 100 mph. They’re building complete arsenals around it. Misiorowski, Greene, Mason Miller, more. Who's next? My new piece
@baseballamerica.com
www.baseballamerica.com/stories/jaco...
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Jacob Misiorowski's 100 MPH Stuff Fueling Breakout With Brewers As MLB Velocities Rise
Jacob Misiorowski is the latest pitcher to take MLB by storm, and he's done it with some of the nastiest stuff in baseball.
https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/jacob-misiorowskis-100-mph-stuff-fueling-breakout-with-brewers-as-mlb-velocities-rise/
5 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Home runs per game are down 20% from the 2019 peak. Stolen bases per game are up nearly 60% since 2021. On a rebalanced league environment and what it means for fantasy baseball
open.substack.com/pub/brendant...
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What the 2025 Run Environment Means for Fantasy Baseball
The League Keeps Changing. Here's How to Stay Ahead.
https://open.substack.com/pub/brendantuma/p/what-the-2025-run-environment-means?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
5 months ago
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Home runs per game are down 20% from the 2019 peak. Stolen bases per game are up nearly 60% since 2021. On a rebalanced league environment and what it means for fantasy baseball
open.substack.com/pub/brendant...
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What the 2025 Run Environment Means for Fantasy Baseball
The League Keeps Changing. Here's How to Stay Ahead.
https://open.substack.com/pub/brendantuma/p/what-the-2025-run-environment-means?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
5 months ago
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Matt Chapman has 22 stolen bases since joining the Giants last year. That’s 2/3 of his career total!
5 months ago
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Backyard Scouting: San Francisco Giants Rafael Devers in a new park, Heliot Ramos flashing growth, and Jung Hoo Lee adjusting to MLB.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
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Backyard Scouting: San Francisco Giants
A Skills-First Review of the Giants’ Lineup
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-scouting-san-francisco-giants
5 months ago
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Fernando Tatis Jr. has the lowest K% of his career. On his evolving approach and a skill-first breakdown of the Padres' lineup.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
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Backyard Scouting Report: San Diego Padres
A Skills-First Review of the Padres’ Lineup
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-scouting-report-san-diego
6 months ago
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"In other words, the real edge is less about individual moves and more about how you evaluate players in the first place." I wrote about my takeaways from building 2025 projections in June:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/what-i-lea...
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What I Learned From Building 2025 Projections… in June
Every battle is won before it's ever fought
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/what-i-learned-from-building-2025
6 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Backyard Scouting Report is a new series where I'll regularly be tracking hitters one team at a time. The goal is to develop a long-term view of the player pool that enables us to stay competitive in both redraft and keeper formats. First up: The Dodgers
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
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Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers
A Skills-First Review of the Dodgers’ Lineup
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-scouting-report-los-angeles
6 months ago
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Backyard Scouting Report is a new series where I'll regularly be tracking hitters one team at a time. The goal is to develop a long-term view of the player pool that enables us to stay competitive in both redraft and keeper formats. First up: The Dodgers
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
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Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers
A Skills-First Review of the Dodgers’ Lineup
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-scouting-report-los-angeles
6 months ago
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New series! Each week I’m breaking down one lineup to track how fantasy value is shifting. Kicking off with the Dodgers.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-s...
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Backyard Scouting Report: Los Angeles Dodgers
A Skills-First Review of the Dodgers’ Lineup
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/backyard-scouting-report-los-angeles
6 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Pete Crow-Armstrong. Ben Rice. Spencer Torkelson. I wrote about young stars powering 3 of the top teams in MLB. New for
@baseballamerica.com
www.baseballamerica.com/stories/how-...
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How Youth Movements Are Powering 3 Top MLB Teams
Brendan Tuma highlights how younger players are helping to lead the way in fast starts for the Cubs, Yankees and Tigers in 2025.
https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/how-youth-movements-are-powering-3-top-mlb-teams/
7 months ago
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Pete Crow-Armstrong. Ben Rice. Spencer Torkelson. I wrote about young stars powering 3 of the top teams in MLB. New for
@baseballamerica.com
www.baseballamerica.com/stories/how-...
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How Youth Movements Are Powering 3 Top MLB Teams
Brendan Tuma highlights how younger players are helping to lead the way in fast starts for the Cubs, Yankees and Tigers in 2025.
https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/how-youth-movements-are-powering-3-top-mlb-teams/
7 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Not long ago, Kyle Stowers looked like a post-hype prospect fading into the AAA wilderness. Fast forward to this past weekend: He stepped to the plate in the bottom of the 9th and crushed a walk-off grand slam off Mason Miller. Here’s why it might be real:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowe...
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Kyle Stowers Just Changed the Narrative
Miami’s Trade Heist Is Powering Up in 2025
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowers-just-changed-the-narrative
7 months ago
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Not long ago, Kyle Stowers looked like a post-hype prospect fading into the AAA wilderness. Fast forward to this past weekend: He stepped to the plate in the bottom of the 9th and crushed a walk-off grand slam off Mason Miller. Here’s why it might be real:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowe...
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Kyle Stowers Just Changed the Narrative
Miami’s Trade Heist Is Powering Up in 2025
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowers-just-changed-the-narrative
7 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Kyle Stowers this season: - More walks, fewer Ks - More consistently tapping into his power What it means!
brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowe...
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Kyle Stowers Just Changed the Narrative
Miami’s Trade Heist Is Powering Up in 2025
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowers-just-changed-the-narrative
7 months ago
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Kyle Stowers this season: - More walks, fewer Ks - More consistently tapping into his power What it means!
brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowe...
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Kyle Stowers Just Changed the Narrative
Miami’s Trade Heist Is Powering Up in 2025
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/kyle-stowers-just-changed-the-narrative
7 months ago
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Tyler Soderstrom is BREAKING OUT. Just hit his MLB-leading 9th homer
brendantuma.substack.com/p/this-is-wh...
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This Is What a Breakout Looks Like
On Tyler Soderstrom's Evolution
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/this-is-what-a-breakout-looks-like
8 months ago
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Fernando Tatis Jr. K% by year 30% 24% 28% 22% 22% ---- 11% in 2025
8 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Breakout candidates are hard to predict -- especially with hitters. So let’s talk about what’s different with Tyler Soderstrom.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/this-is-wh...
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This Is What a Breakout Looks Like
On Tyler Soderstrom's Evolution
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/this-is-what-a-breakout-looks-like
8 months ago
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Tyler Soderstrom's K% gains date back to last year It's only part of his 2025 breakout:
brendantuma.substack.com/p/this-is-wh...
8 months ago
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Breakout candidates are hard to predict -- especially with hitters. So let’s talk about what’s different with Tyler Soderstrom.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/this-is-wh...
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This Is What a Breakout Looks Like
On Tyler Soderstrom's Evolution
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/this-is-what-a-breakout-looks-like
8 months ago
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reposted by
Brendan Tuma
Happy Hunter Greene Day! I wrote about his ascension to acehood and the obvious yet unactionable takeaway.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/hunter-gre...
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Hunter Greene Is Fully Evolving
The title of this piece was almost Hunter Greene Has Fully Evolved. It reads better — cleaner, more confident. If this were dropping around the All-Star break, I might've gone with it. But it’s early ...
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/hunter-greene-is-fully-evolving
8 months ago
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Happy Hunter Greene Day! I wrote about his ascension to acehood and the obvious yet unactionable takeaway.
brendantuma.substack.com/p/hunter-gre...
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Hunter Greene Is Fully Evolving
The title of this piece was almost Hunter Greene Has Fully Evolved. It reads better — cleaner, more confident. If this were dropping around the All-Star break, I might've gone with it. But it’s early ...
https://brendantuma.substack.com/p/hunter-greene-is-fully-evolving
8 months ago
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5 HR, 5 SB, 5 BB through a team’s first 14 games (Wild Card Era): Kyren Paris Jose Altuve Ian Kinsler Brian Roberts Carlos Beltrán Larry Walker Roberto Alomar
8 months ago
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