@notayesmansecon.bsky.social
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UK employment falls as public-sector wages continue toĀ surge Today the focus remains on my home country the UK and we can open with a link to out subject matter of yesterday. The UK unemployment rate for people aged 16 years and over was estimated at 5.2% in October to December 2025. This is up inā¦
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UK employment falls as public-sector wages continue toĀ surge
Today the focus remains on my home country the UK and we can open with a link to out subject matter of yesterday. The UK unemployment rate for people aged 16 years and over was estimated at 5.2% in October to December 2025. This is up in the latest quarter and above estimates of a year ago. The overall unemployment rate has risen again and it is making the headlines.
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/02/17/uk-employment-falls-as-public-sector-wages-continue-to-surge/
about 3 hours ago
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The UK youth unemployment rate (18-24) has risen from 13.7% to 14% this morning.
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about 5 hours ago
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The UK is also seeing quite a surge in public-sector pay. "Annual average regular earnings growth was 7.2% for the public sector and 3.4% for the private sector."
about 6 hours ago
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The early estimate of payrolled employees for January 2026 decreased by 134,000 (0.4%) on the year, and by 11,000 (0.0%) on the month, to 30.3 million.
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about 6 hours ago
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More bad news for UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves as employment falls again. "Estimates for payrolled employees in the UK fell by 121,000 (0.4%) between December 2024 and December 2025, and decreased by 6,000 (0.0%) between November 2025 and December 2025."
about 6 hours ago
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UK Wind Power has risen to 15.9GW this morning. With 1.9GW of Solar we are burning 15.2GW of Gas as well as exporting 0.3GW. Hydro is 0.4GW. Nuclear is 3.9GW and the awful Biomass 3.3GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £78 per MWh.
#renewables
about 6 hours ago
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Good Morning All
about 6 hours ago
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By the way interviews with Bank of England policymakers should not be behind a paywall. They should be on the Bank of England website.
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1 day ago
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The Bank of England in an unusual move criticises UK government policy on youthĀ unemployment Today my home country the UK is back in focus and we can start with the Bank of England. We can start with this from Thursday. UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 0.1% inā¦
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The Bank of England in an unusual move criticises UK government policy on youthĀ unemployment
Today my home country the UK is back in focus and we can start with the Bank of England. We can start with this from Thursday. UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 0.1% in Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2025, following a 0.1% increase in the previous quarter. It used to be the case that the Bank of England moved pretty explicitly in response to GDP movements.
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/02/16/the-bank-of-england-in-an-unusual-move-criticises-uk-government-policy-on-youth-unemployment/
1 day ago
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With the UK Gilt market rallying and the ten-year yield falling to 4.4% a reminder that I explained what is behind this in this week's podcast.
soundcloud.com/shaun-richar...
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Notayesmanspodcast365
This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on Iām beginning to really worry (not sure Iād
https://soundcloud.com/shaun-richards-53550081/notayesmanspodcast365?si=2672892a0cfb40faa885bb570113faef&utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=social_sharing
1 day ago
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For those who have not followed this saga UK Prime Minister Kier Starner has been promising a rise in defence spending since he came to power. The Defence Investment Plan was due last year. So far it has been all talk......
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1 day ago
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UK Wind Power has fallen to 14.7GW this morning. With 1.1GW of Solar we are burning 11.4GW of Gas as well as importing 4.1GW. Hydro is 0.5GW. Nuclear is 3.9GW and the awful Biomass 3GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £79 per MWh.
#renewables
1 day ago
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1 day ago
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UK Wind Power has rallied to 18.1GW this morning. With 0.1GW of Solar we are burning 6.3GW of Gas as well as importing 2.1GW. Hydro is 0.3GW. Nuclear is 3.9GW and the awful Biomass 2.4GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £82 per MWh.
#renewables
2 days ago
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2 days ago
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Thank you to the ladies of Battersea Park Zumba who were in fine form earlier. ššššššššššš
3 days ago
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UK Wind Power has more than halved to 4.9GW this morning. With 1.6GW of Solar we are burning 18GW of Gas as well as importing 2.6GW. Hydro is 0.6GW. Nuclear is 3.9GW and the awful Biomass 2.9GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £79 per MWh.
#renewables
3 days ago
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3 days ago
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Iām beginning to really worry (not sure Iād say fear yet) about stagflation in the UK. Be interested in your thoughts.? Why are UK 10 year bond prices so low, 4.46% today, They have been as high as 4.8/4.9. Debt up, spending up, taxes up, so why the improvement?
soundcloud.com/shaun-richar...
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Notayesmanspodcast365
This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on Iām beginning to really worry (not sure Iād
https://soundcloud.com/shaun-richards-53550081/notayesmanspodcast365?si=2a10f41aa3f34723a2956774d2defa57&utm_source=clipboard&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=social_sharing
4 days ago
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A particular problem for Dr. Schnabel of the ECB is her own words from February 2024. Plus the tacit admission that nothing has been done in the meantime about EU and Euro area economic competitiveness.
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4 days ago
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reposted by
If you have a question for my weekly economics and financial markets podcast then please let me know.
4 days ago
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Dr. Isabel Schnabel of the ECB is singing a different tune to two years ago and hoping you will not spotĀ that Today the focus is on the Euro area and the European Union. This is because someone I regard as a weather vane for views at the European Central Bank gave a speech on Wednesday and it wasā¦
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Dr. Isabel Schnabel of the ECB is singing a different tune to two years ago and hoping you will not spotĀ that
Today the focus is on the Euro area and the European Union. This is because someone I regard as a weather vane for views at the European Central Bank gave a speech on Wednesday and it was also around a two year anniversary. Below is Dr,Isabel Schnabel speaking in Vienna. In this polarised world, Europe is often portrayed as a continent in decline, squeezed between geopolitical rivals, held back by excessive regulation and struggling to keep pace with rapid technological change.
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/02/13/dr-isabel-schnabel-of-the-ecb-is-singing-a-different-tune-to-two-years-ago-and-hoping-you-will-not-spot-that/
4 days ago
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If you have a question for my weekly economics and financial markets podcast then please let me know.
4 days ago
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US Treasury Bonds rallied yesterday so its ten-year yield is now 4.12%.
4 days ago
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UK Wind Power has fallen to 11.5GW this morning. With 0.4GW of Solar we are burning 22.3GW of Gas as well as exporting 2.3GW. Hydro is 0.7GW. Nuclear is 4.3GW and the awful Biomass 3GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £78 per MWh.
#renewables
4 days ago
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4 days ago
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The UK economy spent the second half of 2025 mired inĀ stagflation This morning the economic focus has switched to my home country the UK but sadly he news was disappointing. UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 0.1% in Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2025, following a 0.1%ā¦
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The UK economy spent the second half of 2025 mired inĀ stagflation
This morning the economic focus has switched to my home country the UK but sadly he news was disappointing. UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 0.1% in Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2025, following a 0.1% increase in the previous quarter. So we had a disappointing end to 2025 as economic growth slowed to a crawl in the second half of the year.
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/02/12/the-uk-economy-spent-the-second-half-of-2025-mired-in-stagflation/
5 days ago
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Yesterday UK Prime Minister Kier Starmer stood up in the House of Commons and claimed "inflation is down" When he was elected UK CPI inflation was 2.2% As of the latest figures it was 3.4%
5 days ago
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That means that in the second half of 2025 the UK economy grew by a mere 0.2% as GDP growth slowed to a crawl.
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5 days ago
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More disappointing news for UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves this morning. "UK real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 0.1% in Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2025, following a 0.1% increase in the previous quarter."
5 days ago
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UK Wind Power has rallied to 12.8GW this morning. With 0.4GW of Solar we are burning 17.5GW of Gas as well as importing 0.3GW. Hydro is 0.6GW. Nuclear is 4.3GW and the awful Biomass 3.1GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £81 per MWh.
#renewables
5 days ago
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5 days ago
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I am a keen Boris Bike user š² The Santander Cycles system is dreadfully run and another example of how our political class cannot run anything properly.
6 days ago
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We should envy the lack of inflation inĀ China So far this week I have looked at potential inflationary impulses via larger fiscal stimuli in Japan on Monday and in the UK yesterday. In fact with a beleagured Prime Minister Starmer likely to turn left that seems set to grow. Today however we canā¦
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We should envy the lack of inflation inĀ China
So far this week I have looked at potential inflationary impulses via larger fiscal stimuli in Japan on Monday and in the UK yesterday. In fact with a beleagured Prime Minister Starmer likely to turn left that seems set to grow. Today however we can start by looking at a country which tells us consumer inflation is a real example of price stability rather than a fantasy one.
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/02/11/we-should-envy-the-lack-of-inflation-in-china/
6 days ago
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The Japanese Yen has been rallying since the weekend election and has improved another big figure today to 153.18 versus the US Dollar.
6 days ago
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The UK has been exporting electricity every day so far this week which is a rare situation these days.
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6 days ago
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UK Wind Power has fallen to 11.9GW this morning. With 0.1GW of Solar we are burning 18.8GW of Gas as well as exporting 1.6GW. Hydro is 0.5GW. Nuclear is 4.4GW and the awful Biomass 3.1GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £82 per MWh.
#renewables
6 days ago
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6 days ago
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The SEND crisis is yet another example of our political class spending ever more money with little realĀ effect Today the focus is on my home country the UK but let me open with something you may not be expecting. In the political furore yesterday it looks as though someone decided that it would beā¦
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The SEND crisis is yet another example of our political class spending ever more money with little realĀ effect
Today the focus is on my home country the UK but let me open with something you may not be expecting. In the political furore yesterday it looks as though someone decided that it would be a good time to bury some bad news. English councils will be given at least £5bn to pay off years of overspending on special needs education as ministers again top up funding for local government.
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/02/10/the-send-crisis-is-yet-another-example-of-our-political-class-spending-ever-more-money-with-little-real-effect/
7 days ago
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It is of course the training in Battersea Park that is the key here šāāļøš„š¬š§
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7 days ago
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Another surge in the Japanese stock market earlier as the Nikkei 225 rises to 57,602 setting yet another all-time high. My thoughts are at the link.
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
If the plan for Japan was to inflate away the debt it has mostly worked as aimed
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Notayesmanseconomics's Blog
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com
7 days ago
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Another sign of the incompetence of the UK political class is the state of London's bridges.
add a skeleton here at some point
7 days ago
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UK Wind Power has rallied to 13.5GW this morning. With 0.2GW of Solar we are burning 18.7GW of Gas as well as exporting 3.3GW. Hydro is 0.3GW. Nuclear is 4.4GW and the awful Biomass 3.3GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £87 per MWh.
#renewables
7 days ago
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7 days ago
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reposted by
The Bank of England has just sold some £775 million of UK government bonds. It sold a 2037 maturity for 72.2 after paying 120 for it in 2020 and has lost interest too along the way
#QE
#QT
8 days ago
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The Bank of England has just sold some £775 million of UK government bonds. It sold a 2037 maturity for 72.2 after paying 120 for it in 2020 and has lost interest too along the way
#QE
#QT
8 days ago
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Or in other terms Japan has finally got some nominal GDP growth.
add a skeleton here at some point
8 days ago
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If the plan for Japan was to inflate away the debt it has mostly worked asĀ aimed The news overnight and this morning has brought one of my main themes into play again. It starts with the news on the Japanese election via The Japan Times. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichiās Liberal Democratic Partyā¦
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If the plan for Japan was to inflate away the debt it has mostly worked asĀ aimed
The news overnight and this morning has brought one of my main themes into play again. It starts with the news on the Japanese election via The Japan Times. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichiās Liberal Democratic Party secured a historic landslide victory in Sundayās Lower House election with NHK projections showing the party securing a two-thirds supermajority in the 465-seat Lower House by itself.
https://notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/02/09/if-the-plan-for-japan-was-to-inflate-away-the-debt-it-has-mostly-worked-as-aimed/
8 days ago
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For those worried about the UK Gilt market our ten-year yield has risen to 4.54% but the move so far is in line with other bond markets.
8 days ago
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Well done if you hold Japanese equities. Today saw another new all-time high as the Nikkei 225 surged above 57,000 at one point and closed 4% higher.
8 days ago
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