Quebec - Leader Net-Favourables: Frechette: +24% Milliard: +3% Plamondon: -6% Mainstreet / May 15, 2026

Quebec - Preferred Premier: Plamondon: 22% Frechette: 20% Milliard: 15% Duhaime: 8% Ghazal: 5% Unsure: 29% Leger / May 18, 2026

Polling Canada Quebec Model: ⚜️ PQ: 59 - (34-82) 🔴 PLQ: 45 - (32-64) 🟣 PCQ: 9 - (2-12) 🔵 CAQ: 8 - (1-38) 🟠 QS: 4 - (1-5) (Seat Changes With 2022 Election) - May 20, 2026 - Read it here: www.canadianpolling.com/p/caq-comeba...

Finally, Probe finds 64% of Albertans don't believe cities should extend past their urban boundaries

Probe also finds six in ten Albertans believe the UCP wants to redraw the maps to it improves their chances

Probe finds 68% believe new government boundaries should be promised by independent commissioners

With the CAQ re-emerging as a potential contender for government once again, the race for a majority heats up even further www.canadianpolling.com/p/caq-comeba...

Quebec Sovereignty Polling: Remain: 74% Independence: 26% Mainstreet / May 15, 2026

Quebec Sovereignty Polling: Remain: 68% Independence: 32% Leger / May 18, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 30% (+15) PLQ: 28% (+14) CAQ: 22% (-19) PCQ: 11% (-2) QS: 8% (-7) Others: 1% Leger / May 18, 2026 / n=839 / Online (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec

Quebec Provincial Polling: PLQ: 31% (+17) CAQ: 25% (-16) PQ: 23% (+8) PCQ: 14% (+1) QS: 7% (-8) Others: 1% Mainstreet / May 15, 2026 / n=1143 / MOE 2.8% / IVR (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out all QC polling on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/quebec

Let's go take a look at recent fundraising across the country! canadianpolling.substack.com/p/liberals-s...

Are we witnessing Frechette-mentum?

Preferred Prime Minister Polling: Carney: 51% (-2) Poilievre: 24% (-1) Lewis: 5% (+2) Blanchet: 2% (-1) May: 2% (-) Bernier: 2% (-) Unsure: 15% Nanos / May 8, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

Most Important Issue: Jobs/Economy: 23% (-1) Inflation: 12% (+1) Trump/US Relations: 9% (-1) Healthcare: 7% (+1) Housing: 5% (-1) Environment: 4% (+1) Immigration: 3% (-) Debt/Deficit: 3% (-) National Security: 2% (-) Homeless: 2% (-) Nanos / May 15, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 42% (-2) CPC: 33% (-8) NDP: 12% (+6) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 4% (+3) PPC: 2% (+1) Nanos / May 15, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

"Are you confident or not that NATO can be a strong military deterrent force without the United States if it decided to scale back its participation as a NATO ally?" Confident: 63% Not Confident: 33% Nanos / May 6, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 43% (-1) CPC: 34% (-7) NDP: 11% (+5) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 2% (+1) Others: 2% Liaison / May 16, 2026 / n=1385 / MOE 3.1% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

Polling Canada Federal Model Update: 🔴 LPC: 222 (+53) 🔵 CPC: 95 (-49) ⚜️ BQ: 19 (-3) 🟠 NDP: 6 (-1) 🟢 GPC: 1 (-) (Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election) - May 16, 2026 - Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/three-prov...

(Models Available For Subscribers) Alberta Federal Polling: CPC: 46% (-18) LPC: 40% (+12) NDP: 9% (+3) PPC: 3% (+2) GPC: 1% (+1) Others: 1% Mainstreet / April 22, 2026 / n=3129 / MOE 1.8% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

(Models Available To Subscribers) Alberta Provincial Polling: UCP: 46% (-7) NDP: 42% (-2) ABP: 4% (+3) WLC: 3% (+3) GPA: 3% (+2) Others: 3% Mainstreet / April 22, 2026 / n=3129 / MOE 1.8% / IVR (% Change w 2023 Election) Check AB model details @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/alberta

Alberta - Independence Polling: 🔴 Remain: 60% 🔵 Leave: 28% ⚪️ Unsure: 12% Mainstreet / April 22, 2026

Here's a freebie fun poll where the NDP are given most Liberal votes + 50% of Tory votes and where the UCP are given the other 50% of Tory voters From Probe, of course

"Which is closest to your view of the Ontario PC Government?" Dissatisfied - Think It's Time For A NDP/Liberal Chance: 39% Satisfied - Would Vote For Ford/PCs Again: 25% Dissatisfied - Still Better Than The Liberals/NDP: 20% Unsure: 18% Leger / May 11, 2026

(Models Available To Subscribers) Ontario Provincial Polling: PCPO: 39% (-4) OLP: 34% (+4) ONDP: 17% (-2) GPO: 6% (+1) Others: 4% Leger / May 11, 2026 / n=783 / Online (% Change with 2025 Election) Check out more ON details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/ontario/

Toronto - Mayoral Polling: Chow: 50% Bradford: 37% Others: 13% Liaison / May 11, 2026

Another 77% reject the idea of an American takeover of the Alberta

Another poll showing a 71% in share of Albertans against independence

Quebec Provincial Polling: PLQ: 30% (+16) PQ: 30% (+15) CAQ: 18% (-23) PCQ: 13% (-) QS: 8% (-7) Synopsis / May 9, 2026 / n=1000 / Online (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out all QC polling on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/quebec

(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 29% (+14) PLQ: 28% (+14) CAQ: 19% (-22) PCQ: 14% (+1) QS: 8% (-7) Pallas / May 8, 2026 / n=1176 / MOE 2.9% / IVR (% Change With 2022 Election) Check out QC details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/quebec

(Models Available To Subscribers) Alberta Provincial Polling: UCP: 46% (-7) NDP: 39% (-5) ALP: 6% (+6) ABP: 6% (+5) GPA: 2% (+1) Others: 2% Probe / May 6, 2026 / n=1484 / Online (% Change With 2023 Election) Check out AB model details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/alberta

(⭐️ Support Me By Subscribing/Donating ⭐️) Ontario Provincial Polling: PCPO: 35% (-8) OLP: 31% (+1) ONDP: 24% (+5) GPO: 6% (+1) Others: 4% Mainstreet / May 7, 2026 / n=831 / MOE 3.2% / IVR (% Change with 2025 Election) Check out more ON details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/ontario/

Most Important Issue: Jobs/Economy: 24% Inflation: 11% Trump/US Relations: 10% Healthcare: 6% Housing: 6% Immigration: 3% Debt/Deficit: 3% Environment: 3% National Security: 2% Homeless: 2% Nanos / May 8, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

Preferred Prime Minister Polling: Carney: 53% Poilievre: 25% Lewis: 3% Blanchet: 3% May: 2% Bernier: 2% Unsure: 13% Nanos / May 8, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 46% (+2) CPC: 33% (-8) NDP: 9% (+3) BQ: 5% (-1) GPC: 4% (+3) PPC: 2% (+1) Nanos / May 8, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

"Is the federal government doing enough to build new pipeline capacity?" Too Little: 48% (-2) About Right: 31% (+8) Too Much: 21% (-7) Angus Reid / April 28, 2026

"Is the federal government doing enough to build new pipeline capacity?" Too Little: 48% (-2) About Right: 31% (+8) Too Much: 21% (-7) Angus Reid / April 28, 2026

Support For Economic Growth Over Environmental Protection: National: Economic Growth +22 Alberta: Economic Growth +48 Saskatchewan: Economic Growth +38 Manitoba: Economic Growth +32 Ontario: Economic Growth +26 British Columbia: Economic Growth +18

"Who's best to handle..." Foreign Affairs: Carney +27 Canada-US Relations: Carney +21 National Unity: Carney +20 Accountability: Carney +16 Economy: Carney +15 Healthcare: Carney +10 Immigration: Carney +8 Energy: Carney +8 Housing: Carney +6 Crime: Carney +4 Research Co. / May 8, 2026

Preferred Prime Minister Polling: Carney: 45% Poilievre: 26% Blanchet: 4% Lewis: 4% May: 4% Bernier: 2% Unsure: 16% Research Co. / May 8, 2026

Net-Favourables Of: Carney: +20% Blanchet: -5% May: -8% Lewis: -10% Poilievre: -13% Bernier: -32% Research Co / May 8, 2026

Leader Net-Favourable Polling: Carney: 🟢 Approve: 58% ⚫️ Disapprove: 34% Poilievre: 🔴 Unfavourable: 51% 🟢 Favourable: 36% Lewis: 🟢 Favourable: 27% 🔴 Unfavourable: 22% Liaison / May 9, 2026

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 46% (+2) CPC: 31% (-10) NDP: 11% (+5) BQ: 7% (+1) GPC: 3% (+2) PPC: 1% (-) Research Co / May 8, 2026 / n=1003 / Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 44% (-) CPC: 33% (-8) NDP: 10% (+4) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 2% (+1) Others: 3% Liaison / May 9, 2026 / n=917 / MOE 3.1% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 46% (+2) CPC: 36% (-5) NDP: 8% (+2) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 3% (+2) PPC: 1% (-) Abacus / May 6, 2026 / n=2284 / Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com

Polling Canada Federal Model Update: 🔴 LPC: 218 (+49) 🔵 CPC: 100 (-44) ⚜️ BQ: 19 (-3) 🟠 NDP: 5 (-2) 🟢 GPC: 1 (-) (Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election) - May 9, 2026 - Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/carney-mai...

(Reposting this from Twitter :p) Hey! Wanted everyone to know that I've a stroke and that I'm well on my way to recovery Thanks y'all ❤️

Even without Trump in the White House, the Liberals would still be leading in the vote intention

62% of Ontarians say that Ford only sold the private plane because he was caught in a political controversy

Alberta Provincial Polling: UCP: 52% (-1) NDP: 39% (-5) Others: 9% Janet Brown / April 22, 2026 / n=1200 / MOE 2.8% / Telephone/Online (% Change With 2023 Election) Check out AB model details from @338canada.bsky.social here: 338canada.com/alberta