Der Fisch stinkt vom Kopf her. Für mich unvergessen das Interview von Söder, CSU, dass er im Januar 2022 der FAZ gegeben hat. - Russland sei nicht unser Feind. - Keine Waffen für die Ukraine - kein NATO-Beitritt - Rücknahme von Sanktionen gegen Russland - Schnelle Öffnung von North Stream 2

Investors, consumers and companies are showing the first signs of souring on Donald Trump’s vision. With his aggressive and erratic protectionism, he is playing with fire econ.st/41tx87X

👇👇 New #WeekInEurope Podcast 👇👇 Getting Germany 🇩🇪 Back on Track, with Clemens Fuest (Ifo Institute) Join us as we analyze the massive economic underperfomance of Germany relative to its European peers & the policy options available for recovery. Link to the podast 🎧below 👇

👇👇NEW #WeekInEurope Podcast 👇👇 Global Value Chains Under Pressure: What Future for Them? With Gabriel Felbermayr (WiFo) Join us as Gabriel shares his expert insights on the forces reshaping the intricate web of global value chains. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...

Ernsthafte Frage: Wo in unserem 🇩🇪 Wahlkampf sind die Strategien gegen die #Wachstumskrise....?

France's "strategic autonomy" is cheap talk until you have to put something on the table. Latest exhibit: EU-Mercosur.

My assessment of information operations and tactics used to influence elections in Romania (2024). Subliminal tactics in use. The campaign hinged on an influencer-for-hire site. It also gamed TikTok's algorithms and bot detection methods. techletters.substack.com/p/techletter...

‪ 👇👇 New #WeekInEurope Podcast 👇👇 Outlook on the Political Future in France 🇫🇷 with Hadrien Camatte (Natixis) What options are there for a new government? How would a provisional budget for 2025 work? How high will deficits be? And what about rating agencies? podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

#TikTok needs to be banned in the European Union 🇪🇺 balkaninsight.com/2024/12/06/r...

‪ 👇👇 New #WeekInEurope Podcast 👇👇 Outlook on the Political Future in France 🇫🇷 with Hadrien Camatte (Natixis) What options are there for a new government? How would a provisional budget for 2025 work? How high will deficits be? And what about rating agencies? podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

Looking forward to giving a keynote on „Overconfidence in Private Information Explains Biases in Professional Forecasts“ (joint w P. Kuang & S. Xie). at 14th ifo Conference on #Macro and #SurveyData in Munich. @ifo_Institut @CESifoNetwork ifo.de/en/event/202...

Das ist eine historisch zwingende Lehre!

We have just revised our #SNB call and now expect a cut by #50bp in #December, followed by two 25bp cuts in to a level of 0% in June. #Inflation simply is too low and the economy is growing below potential such that an expansionary policy is needed publications.jsafrasarasin.com/publ-dl-ch/d...

From today, I will no longer post on Twitter/X.

The problem with the far left & the far right in France 🇫🇷 is that they both want to spend money that the French state doesn’t have. If either of them wins the next parliamentary elections, we will see a gov. bond crisis in France. If so, #ECB must not step in but let the market work it out!

German Foreign Minister Baerbock prior to departing to 🇨🇳: “Instead of taking responsibility for peace and security in the world as a permanent member of the UN Security Council, China is opposing our core European interests with its economic and weapons aid to Russia.”

BSW und AfD sind nicht nur zwei Seiten einer Medaille - beide wollen raus aus der Westbindung - , sie sind auch der politische Arm des Kreml in Deutschland. Natürlich fahren Vertreter von denen immer wieder nach Russland, um mit den Verbrechern zu reden www.t-online.de/nachrichten/...

New paper: benjaminmoll.com/challenge/

1/5) Should we be worried about the deterioration in US labour market conditions? One important concept has been the #Sahm-Rule#. We look at it and argue in #MonthlyReport that US recessionary risks remain contained. publikationen.bundesbank.de/publikatione...

Continued pressure on the Russian Rubel: more than 8% down against the USD this month!

Ein neuer #Geldcast für alle Nerds 🧡 über die neueste Forschung zur #Phillipskurve von Pierpaolo Benigno (Uni Bern) und Gauti Eggertsson. Jetzt reinschauen oder -hören! 📺 youtu.be/BRQwFr2b9Zw 🎧 spoti.fi/3xsKAxT

Die Mehrheit der Deutschen findet die Aufhebung der Reichweitenbeschränkung für ATACMS richtig und ist für mehr Militärhilfe. Lasst Euch keinen anderen Scheiß erzählen

The only thing that keeps government deficits in Europe 🇪🇺 in check is the bond market. It may sometimes be late & awake in rude ways, but it's MUCH more effective than the Stability and Growth Pact. That's why it's important that #ECB doesn't tinker too much with it...

😂😂😂

EU policies crush outliers: - Policies for average universities, not elite ones. - Pensions cannot take risk - invest in VC - Bankruptcy punishes failrue harder than US - Push broad skills over breakthrough ideas - Regulate AI to death 4/

Die rot und blau lackierten Faschismusfreunde marschieren jetzt ganz offen Arm in Arm.

🇬🇧British Prime Minister Keir #Starmer is my hero: He dares to confront 🇨🇳Chinese President #Xi in public with his human rights violations 💪💪💪

Bidens Entscheidung ist richtig. Aber sie kommt 1.000 Tage zu spät. Zu spät - so wie jeder richtige Schritt im Umgang mit Russland. Die Ukraine muss sich so verteidigen dürfen, wie es das Völkerrecht zulässt. Damit die Ukraine überleben kann, braucht es einen echten Kurswechsel.

New #WeekInEurope Podcast 👇👇 The Political Transition in Germany 🇩🇪: Economic Challenges Join us as we unpack the political turmoil, the economic pressures underlying it & what’s next for Europe’s former powerhouse. 🎧 Listen now: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

New #WeekInEurope Podcast 👇👇 The Political Transition in Germany 🇩🇪: Economic Challenges Join us as we unpack the political turmoil, the economic pressures underlying it & what’s next for Europe’s former powerhouse. 🎧 Listen now: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

From now on I will be posting here. Our new podcast on Germany‘s political transition will come out later today…

Just opened my account, who is already here that I could follow…..?