PaCE Project Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is to present his work "Domestic Support for Rapprochement between International Rivals: Evidence from South Korea" on Thursday 9 October, at 4pm in the TRiSS Seminar Room in Trinity College. For more information see: www.tcd.ie/Asian/events/

Come and work with us! PaCE is recruiting two research fellows to join the project - for more information, check out the PaCE website and TCD Vacancies page. www.forecastlab.org my.corehr.com/pls/trrecrui... Application deadline 25 August 2025!

Huge congrats to @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social Professor Thomas Chadefaux and Dr Tim Bodt from @langslitscultures.bsky.social who have secured @erc.europa.eu funding to investigate the potential of AI to address challenges in conflict forecasting and language preservation. www.tcd.ie/news_events/...

Exciting news - Prof. Thomas Chadefaux awarded a Proof of Concept grant by the ERC. AICAP (Artificial Intelligence for Conflict Analysis and Prediction) will analyse real-time geopolitical, economic, and behavioural data to forecast patterns in conflict development. #TrinityResearch #erc.europa.eu

PaCE Project PhD candidate Thomas Schincariol presenting his paper at the recent 2025 Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference in Barcelona.

📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Benin's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Nigeria's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is one of the speakers this evening at a public seminar in the UCD Centre for Asia-Pacific Research. The topic: Reunification Identities: Unifying Korean Reunification with a Global World - "Mind the Gap".

📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Israel's fatalities pattern that mostly led to an increasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Afghanistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Lebanon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last India's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly decreasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

📊 Check out the last Somalia's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history. 🗺️ Interactive Map 📄 Monthly Report 💻 Github Repo

Our monthly global risk predication map report is published today - if you want to sign up to get it in your in-box every month, the link to subscribe is on our website: www.forecastlab.org/predictionmap Here is a preview!

Delighted to share the publication of "Dynamic Synthetic Controls: Accounting for Varying Speeds in Comparative Case Studies" in the journal Political Analysis, authored by PaCE colleagues Jian Cao and Thomas Chadefaux. Available at: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...